For comments like this, I love to hit back with data (from the rigor of a science and engineering guy). Many people really just speak without evidence; if speaking were a crime, they would definitely be sentenced to life imprisonment.
Starting with the data, in 2024, Japan raised interest rates for the first time on March 19, the S&P 500 went from 17900 to 18036, the Nasdaq from 12480 to 12554, and BTC from 67707 to 61876.
The second time was on July 31, the S&P went from 5503 to 5523, the Nasdaq from 19229 to 19350, and BTC from 66207 to 64209. The third time was on January 24, 2025, the S&P went from 6119 to 6098, the Nasdaq from 21977 to 21758, and BTC from 103815 to 10476.
Because Japan has only had these three data points in nearly 20 years, in the first two instances, the US stock market rose while BTC fell, and in the third instance, it was the opposite. If the data volume is large enough, it really is a 50-50 chance.
Moreover, what these people say about the market opening with a big drop is not accurate; looking at the market in March 2024, there was hardly any fluctuation.
If there were more data, I believe the data would definitely slap you in the face. Still, as the saying goes, there are always those who try to find market patterns through a single event or indicator, but the market never goes as one wishes! - Teacher Zhu
