New coin trading!
The core message is: only trade contracts, and for new coins that do not have spot trading yet, don't short them casually. Stick to small positions for long trades, as the win rate is quite high.
Why? Just look at these points:
1: Historical pattern: Many coins have a high increase rate when there are only contracts and no spot trading, over 70%, with some even doubling or tripling. Even if there are sell-offs in between, many still rise in the end.
2: Game mechanism: Without spot trading, no one can easily sell off. Large traders have low costs to pull prices up, and the profits from squeezing out short positions are substantial. The more people shorting, the stronger the price rise.
3: Opening logic: Contracts are raised first, which acts as a "high price anchor" for the market, making it easier to attract more buyers when spot trading actually starts.
Key points to note:
1: Keep a close eye on the spot trading launch time: This is the most important risk point; once spot trading starts, it often leads to sell-offs.
2: Position should be fixed and light: This is a probability game, so avoid going all in at once.
3: Don't focus on the price fluctuations in the first minute of trading: There’s no depth, the volatility is chaotic, and it has little reference value.
In summary, this trading method profits from probability—before the spot trading comes out, follow the direction of the bullish main force and use small positions to speculate; don’t stubbornly short. Once the spot trading time arrives, be cautious.