📈 Financial Diary DAY 36: Position Control • Waiting for the Wind
A few days ago, I closed part of my position, and recently I've been gradually buying back. Reasonably controlling the position really makes operations much easier 🎯. The profits may not be the highest, but there are always opportunities in the market; the key is to "survive" first, and when luck comes, you are still in the game✨
More importantly, this operational rhythm allows for a good night's sleep 😴💤
🌍 Macro Quick Read: Interest Rate Cut, What Next?
This week, the Federal Reserve announced its third interest rate cut of the year and initiated a short-term Treasury bond purchase plan (about $40 billion in the first month). This "interest rate cut + bond purchase" combination strengthens expectations for liquidity easing, which is a medium to long-term benefit for risk assets like cryptocurrencies🚀.
However, the increase in dissenting votes at the meeting suggests that the future policy path may be "stop-and-go," and market volatility will continue.
🔮 Focus on the Pair: BTC & ETH December Outlook
Bitcoin (BTC)
· Positioning: After a deep correction, gradually approaching the bottom of the cycle🛡️.
· Key Range: Support around $90,000, resistance at $105,000. A breakthrough in the $94,000-95,000 area may restart bullish momentum📊.
· View: December may be a potential reversal window, the most intense selling pressure may have passed.
Ethereum (ETH)
· Technical Formation: The "Head and Shoulders Bottom" formation remains valid, with a theoretical target pointing to around $3,710📐.
· Key Range: Support at $2,850, resistance at $3,400. If it holds above $3,400, the space will further open up🔓.
· Note: After the rebound, holders' unrealized profits have increased, which may create short-term profit-taking pressure; upward movement may require more patience⏳.
🧭 Strategy Summary: Mainly low buying, avoid chasing the top
I still adopt a "low buy" strategy for core assets like $BTC , $ETC , and $BNB ✅—positioning in batches at key support areas rather than chasing high at resistance levels, and definitely not being greedy to "chase the top" for short selling❌.
Why?
1. The tightest liquidity moment may have passed💨.
2. Market structure is tending towards health🏗️.
3. Preserving capital is essential to have chips in the trend🛡️.
Remember: Investing is a marathon; steady breathing is more important than a brief sprint🏃♂️💨. Wishing everyone a calm layout in December and good nights!🌙
#美联储降息 #加密市场观察 #加密市场反弹
