小白学点位
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Bearish
【Bitcoin btc $BTC 2025-12-12 12:37 Censored Version】
（1）【$BTC 】Bitcoin divergence has turned into consensus, the subsequent trend has no divergence anymore.
The blue line is a combined adjustment wave (triple three-wave), labeled WXYXZ,
The blue line is very likely already completed.
The blue line will evolve into a larger level combined adjustment wave (double three-wave),
The blue line is just a sub-W wave, and there will be sub-X and sub-Y waves following.
There is also a wave counting method where the A wave is a somewhat non-standard guiding wedge,
This wave counting method, the B wave is likely a zigzag adjustment wave (single, double, or triple can apply),
But this requires the C wave to be a stronger 5-wave impulse wave than the A wave,
Currently, the macro situation may not form a 5-wave impulse wave, more likely a combined adjustment wave,
To be conservative, we will lower our expectations and treat it as a combined adjustment wave for stability.
But if the C wave exceeds expectations and forms a 5-wave impulse wave, we need to adjust promptly.
（2）Next, the red line (sub-X wave) needs to drop for xxx days, ending only after falling around xxx,
On December 10, it was predicted that a significant drop would occur around 3:30 AM on December 11, which was realized.
On December 11, it was predicted to drop at least to 89.241 yuan (zigzag adjustment wave), which has also been realized!
If the yellow point is the bottom, it needs to start a 5-wave impulse wave from the yellow point and effectively stabilize at xxx;
Otherwise, it will evolve into a double zigzag adjustment wave or a triple zigzag adjustment wave.
If it is a double zigzag adjustment wave, pay attention to xxx (focus), xxx (focus),
If it is a triple zigzag adjustment wave, pay attention to xxx yuan (special attention), xxx yuan (special attention).
（3）Theoretically, as long as the red line (sub-X wave) is not a diffuse platform-type adjustment wave,
It will not break the new low below 80524,
In reality, the examples of diffuse platform-type adjustment waves here are extremely, extremely low,
I have not seen similar cases.
The probability of breaking the new low is extremely low, just ignore it.
（4）After the decline is completed,
The green line (sub-Y wave) needs to rise to xxx days, a maximum of xxx days, target xxx.
#比特币走势分析 #比特币波动性 #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
The censored content is shared daily with my good friends,
For the complete content, please see the end of the pinned post. #BTC走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
（1）【$BTC 】Bitcoin divergence has turned into consensus, the subsequent trend has no divergence anymore.
The blue line is a combined adjustment wave (triple three-wave), labeled WXYXZ,
The blue line is very likely already completed.
The blue line will evolve into a larger level combined adjustment wave (double three-wave),
The blue line is just a sub-W wave, and there will be sub-X and sub-Y waves following.
There is also a wave counting method where the A wave is a somewhat non-standard guiding wedge,
This wave counting method, the B wave is likely a zigzag adjustment wave (single, double, or triple can apply),
But this requires the C wave to be a stronger 5-wave impulse wave than the A wave,
Currently, the macro situation may not form a 5-wave impulse wave, more likely a combined adjustment wave,
To be conservative, we will lower our expectations and treat it as a combined adjustment wave for stability.
But if the C wave exceeds expectations and forms a 5-wave impulse wave, we need to adjust promptly.
（2）Next, the red line (sub-X wave) needs to drop for xxx days, ending only after falling around xxx,
On December 10, it was predicted that a significant drop would occur around 3:30 AM on December 11, which was realized.
On December 11, it was predicted to drop at least to 89.241 yuan (zigzag adjustment wave), which has also been realized!
If the yellow point is the bottom, it needs to start a 5-wave impulse wave from the yellow point and effectively stabilize at xxx;
Otherwise, it will evolve into a double zigzag adjustment wave or a triple zigzag adjustment wave.
If it is a double zigzag adjustment wave, pay attention to xxx (focus), xxx (focus),
If it is a triple zigzag adjustment wave, pay attention to xxx yuan (special attention), xxx yuan (special attention).
（3）Theoretically, as long as the red line (sub-X wave) is not a diffuse platform-type adjustment wave,
It will not break the new low below 80524,
In reality, the examples of diffuse platform-type adjustment waves here are extremely, extremely low,
I have not seen similar cases.
The probability of breaking the new low is extremely low, just ignore it.
（4）After the decline is completed,
The green line (sub-Y wave) needs to rise to xxx days, a maximum of xxx days, target xxx.
#比特币走势分析 #比特币波动性 #加密市场反弹 #美联储FOMC会议
The censored content is shared daily with my good friends,
For the complete content, please see the end of the pinned post. #BTC走势分析
{future}(BTCUSDT)
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