It's time to wake up! You have all been fooled by the "Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts" strategy!
Everyone is watching the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, thinking that once the money flows in, the crypto market will soar, right? But today's news is the real "devil in the details": long-term U.S. Treasury prices are plummeting, and the 30-year yield has skyrocketed to a new high since September. In the context of interest rate cuts, this thing is actually falling, isn't that counterintuitive?
I say this is the market subtly telling us the truth: those big shots are actually panicking inside! They claim there might still be rate cuts, but their actions are honest, throwing out long-term government bonds, which are supposed to be the "ballast".
Because long-term government bonds fear two things the most: the resurgence of inflation and government debt skyrocketing. Chicago Federal Reserve President Goolsbee opposes rate cuts, citing high inflation and unclear data, directly bringing the concerns hidden under the table to the surface.
Impact on the crypto market? This is not a trivial matter!
The logic has changed: don’t blindly believe the old script of “rate cuts = bull market.” Now the market fears not rate hikes, but the ghost of “stagflation” reappearing—poor economic performance and prices that won’t go down. In this environment, Bitcoin's narrative as an inflation hedge might be reignited, but its connection to traditional finance will be more complex.
Risk escalation: There are huge disagreements among the big shots regarding policies, which means the road ahead will be particularly bumpy, and any piece of data could trigger severe volatility. Those brothers with high leverage, a sudden brake could mean getting knocked out directly.
What should players do:
Don’t chase highs: Any short-term surge due to interest rate cut news could be full of traps.
Hold onto spot: Ignore the noise, focus on Bitcoin as digital gold against fiscal and inflation risks as its core value.
Prepare your bullets: If the market experiences a panic drop due to this "truth fear," that’s when you should be greedy.
The current situation is like the calm before the storm. Want to know how to adjust your positions to avoid risks and still make profits under this "stagflation" cloud?
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