Family, who understands! Every day I watch you all in the crypto circle chasing gains and losses, cursing when you lose and floating when you earn. My old heart is in a panic! As an analyst who has been in the field for eight years, I have stepped into more pits than you have walked paths. Today, I will reveal the survival secrets from my treasure chest. It's all the truth, not a single word is false!
Don't talk to me about 'mystical trading' or 'insider information'. Here, those who can survive for a long time never rely on luck but on a set of durable rules! Back in the day, I entered the market with 4,000 yuan. I have been a 'bailout' before and have experienced going back to square one overnight, but after three years of hard work, I turned my spare change jar into a small goal. It's all about the strategy of 'holding 50% of the position steadily'. Monthly returns steadily reach 70%. Don't believe it? You will understand after reading!
First, the harshest survival tip: imagine your principal as five bowls of rice, and only touch one bowl at a time! Never get too excited and go all in; that’s not trading, that’s giving money to the market! Let me break it down for you: set a hard stop-loss at 10%; even if you misjudge this time, you’ll only lose 2% of your total funds. Even if you get unlucky and make five mistakes in a row, you’ll only lose 10%; it won’t be devastating. But if you get it right, make sure to monitor for profits of 10% or more; after this operation, you’ll see if the market is willing to take you in!
Want to improve your win rate? Just two words: go with the trend! These two words have been overused, but few can truly achieve it! Remember, during a downturn, don’t think about bottom fishing; rebounds are just illusions created by the market, and you'll get caught if you jump in. During an uptrend, a pullback is a good opportunity to scoop up bargains; it’s not a trap, it’s a golden opportunity! Going against the trend is like hitting a stone with an egg; in the end, you'll be the one that breaks, don’t underestimate this!
Here’s another ironclad rule: don’t touch varieties that surge in the short term! Whether they are top trending or niche favorites, the crazier the surge, the further you should stay away. In the crypto circle, it's rarer than pandas to find varieties that can make multiple waves of upward trends; after a short-term surge, you think it will continue? That’s just wishful thinking! When it’s at a high, and can't rise anymore, it’s just like a balloon that’s been blown up too much; next, it’s either slowly deflating or bursting right in front of you. This logic is as simple as 1+1=2; don’t be the naive one who picks up the tab!
Speaking of technical indicators, don’t get caught up in fancy ones; MACD is enough and very reliable! I rely on it as my 'traffic light': when the DIF and DEA hold hands below the 0 axis (golden cross), and then break through the 0 axis together, that’s the 'buy signal' the market gives you; conversely, when they break up above the 0 axis (death cross) and slide down, don’t hesitate, quickly reduce your position and exit, waiting even a second longer could get you trapped at the peak!
The most misleading phrase is 'averaging down'. I’ve seen too many retail investors fall for this! The more you lose, the more you add, the more you add, the more you lose, until you are completely trapped, with no place to cry! Take my advice: averaging down is not a lifeline, it’s a death sentence! Averaging down when you’re losing is like handing a knife to your losses; only when you’re making a profit can you slowly add to your position; this is a rule, whoever breaks it will lose!
The relationship between volume and price is the 'key point' of the crypto circle. If you understand it, you've already won half the battle! When there's a sudden increase in volume during a consolidation at a low level, don’t hesitate, keep a close eye; the opportunity may come! However, when there’s an increase in volume at a high level but no increase in price, that’s a dangerous signal; make a quick exit, don’t linger, or you’ll end up with nothing.
Additionally, only trade in rising trend varieties for a higher win rate! It's like finding a partner; you should look for someone positive and upward, not someone full of problems. When the 3-day moving average turns upwards, there's potential for a short-term play; when the 30-day moving average turns upwards, you can position yourself for a mid-term play; when the 84-day moving average turns upwards, congratulations, the main upward wave is coming; when the 120-day moving average turns upwards, you're looking at long-term stable happiness!
The last trick in the bag: you must review every trade after it's done! Don’t just focus on being happy or emotional; check whether your holding logic has changed, whether the weekly trend is correct, or if the trend direction has deviated. Adjust your strategy as needed; don’t be stubborn. If the market changes and you don’t, who loses? You will!
In the past, you walked in the dark in the crypto circle, falling into countless traps. Now I’ve turned on the light for you! If you want to transform from a novice to a winner, don’t blindly stumble around! Follow me @男神说币 #加密市场反弹 $BTC

