Release date: December 13, 2025 ✍️ Author: Qingfengbtc (20 years in the financial industry)

📊 1. Market pulse: Latest quotes for mainstream cryptocurrencies

As of the time of writing, the total market capitalization of the global crypto market remains above $3.2 trillion, showing a 'high-level contraction and consolidation' trend.

🟢 Bitcoin (BTC): $91,850 (24h: -0.8%)

Qingfeng's commentary: Testing $91,500 short-term support level, bulls and bears are fiercely contesting the 92,000 mark, which is a typical 'silent period before the decision.'

🟢 Ethereum (ETH): $3,215 (24h: +1.2%)

Qingfeng's commentary: The exchange rate for (ETH/BTC) shows signs of rebound, with significant capital inflow into the DeFi sector, outperforming the market.

🟢 Solana (SOL): $212 (24h: +2.5%)

Qingfeng Commentary: The on-chain Meme heat remains strong, supporting high demand for SOL.

🟢 BNB: $715 (24h: +0.5%)

Qingfeng Commentary: Stimulated by recent Launchpool and wallet Yield+ activities, buying pressure is steady.

🐋 II. On-chain Eye: Global Whale Movements (Whale Alert)

Data does not lie, what is smart money doing?

USDT Crazy Printing (Super Bullish): According to Whale Alert monitoring, Tether's treasury has minted 1 billion USDT again on the Tron chain in the past 12 hours.

Qingfeng Interpretation: This scale of issuance usually occurs before a major surge. This is the most direct signal that off-market funds are exchanging chips and preparing to enter the market to buy the dip!

Exchange Withdrawal Wave (Bullish): On-chain data shows that a mysterious whale address (starting with bc1q) withdrew 2,800 BTC (approximately $250 million) from Coinbase Pro early this morning.

Qingfeng Interpretation: Institutions are transferring coins to cold wallets, indicating they are accumulating spot assets and not preparing to crash the market.

Long-dormant Coin Movement (Potential Bearish): An early wallet address that had been dormant for 9 years just transferred 50 BTC to a new address.

Qingfeng Interpretation: The awakening of such 'ancient whales' usually triggers panic sentiment (FUD) in the market, but this is more like retail investors scaring themselves; the scale is insufficient to shake the trend.

📰 III. In-depth Sorting of Bullish and Bearish News

✅ Major Bullish

Federal Reserve interest rate cut is a certainty: The latest rate swap market shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points next week has risen to 96%. The liquidity turning point has arrived.

BlackRock increases holdings again: The IBIT ETF had a net inflow of $320 million yesterday, with net inflows for 5 consecutive trading days. Wall Street has not stopped buying.

SEC Regulatory Easing Implementation: Rumors of 'innovation exemptions' for DeFi protocols are expected to be announced by the end of the month, causing tokens such as Uniswap and Aave to rise in response.

❌ Potential Bearish

Profit-taking Pressure: BTC has accumulated a large amount of profit above $90,000, and the short-term MVRV indicator shows high risk, which may lead to a sudden 'de-leveraging' plunge at any moment.

Geopolitical Noise: News that a certain European country plans to impose a 40% energy tax on cryptocurrency mining has raised concerns about localized computing power.

💡 IV. Qingfeng BTC: Veteran's Exclusive Strategy

Faced with the current market, many new investors have lost patience in the fluctuations at $92,000 and even want to short.

But I tell you from 20 years of experience: Shorting now is picking sesame seeds and losing watermelons.

The current script is very clear:

Main Intention: Utilize the risk-averse sentiment 'before the Federal Reserve decision' to clean out the indecisive high leverage through sideways fluctuations.

Capital Flow: The large issuance of USDT indicates that the bullets are already loaded. Once the interest rate cut is announced next week, the market is likely to directly break through the previous high resistance level of $93,500.

📈 Operation Suggestions:

Spot Party: Hold on! Stay firm! Don't be scared off the train by these few hundred points of fluctuations. If you see a plunge to $90,000 - $90,500, boldly add to your position.

Contract Party: Strictly prohibited to chase long positions with high leverage. The current volatility will amplify, and the win rate of placing low-position long orders (catching needles) is much higher than chasing market orders.

Focus Sector: Besides BTC, pay close attention to DeFi leaders (benefiting from regulatory easing) and stablecoin wealth management (such as USDD/USDT activities), utilizing idle US to earn risk-free returns.

Veteran's Message: A bull market is not only about rising but also about enduring. The darkest moment before dawn is the hardest to endure, but it is also when whales accumulate the most aggressively.

👋 I am Qingfeng BTC, follow me, and with 20 years of experience, I will take you through the bull and bear markets!