Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Fed Delivers, Yet Fails to Convince BTC Traders
Bitcoin continues to trade in a tight consolidation range near the $90,000 level as markets absorb the Federal Reserve’s latest policy signals. While the Fed delivered a widely expected 25-basis-point rate cut in December, its cautious forward guidance failed to ignite risk appetite. A projected pause in January and a restrained outlook for 2026 rate cuts cooled expectations, leaving Bitcoin stuck between macro uncertainty and structural long-term optimism.
Early in the week, BTC showed strength, briefly holding above $92,600. Momentum faded after the FOMC meeting, triggering a pullback toward $89,260 before buyers stepped in again. With no major US data releases ahead, traders are now watching Fed member speeches, broader risk sentiment, and technical levels to determine the next move. For now, the lack of a strong catalyst suggests continued range-bound price action.
Geopolitical tensions are adding another layer of caution. Ongoing Russia-Ukraine uncertainty and stalled peace discussions continue to suppress global risk-on sentiment, limiting aggressive positioning across crypto markets. This backdrop has reinforced Bitcoin’s consolidation rather than sparking a decisive breakout.
Institutional demand, however, shows early signs of stabilization. US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $237 million this week, reversing prior outflows, while Strategy added over 10,600 BTC to its treasury. On-chain data further supports a constructive outlook, with exchange deposits and large-holder selling pressure declining. If this trend persists, analysts see potential for a recovery toward the $99,000–$102,000 zone.
Technically, Bitcoin is holding above the 100-week EMA near $85,800, with momentum indicators suggesting bearish pressure is fading. A confirmed break above $94,250 could open the path toward $100,000, while failure to hold current levels risks a deeper retest of key support.
