As of December 13, 2025, 19:00 (UTC+8), ETH is quoted at $3080-3120, in a weak rebound repair phase after a deep correction in the mid-bull market, with short-term fluctuations building a base, and medium-term still looking at mainstream coin cycles and fundamentals driving.
1. Core Positioning and Key Prices
- Cycle Attribute: Not a bear market, it is a correlated correction after Bitcoin led the decline, with institutional funds not withdrawing on a large scale, belonging to the bull market correction period.
- Key Range:
- Support: Short-term $3050-3080 (intraday consolidation center), strong support at $3000 (psychological and trendline), extreme support at $2850 (previously dense trading area).
- Resistance: Short-term $3170-3200 (EMA and selling pressure area), strong resistance at $3390 (previous high and moving average suppression), with a breakthrough target of $3500-3570.
2. Technical Overview (12.13)
- Daily: EMA bearish arrangement, MACD shrinking, DIF/DEA blocked at the 0 axis, KDJ dead cross, volume shrinking, rebound momentum insufficient.
- 4-hour: The middle track of the Bollinger Bands (about $3050) temporarily supports, RSI≈42 neutral, low-level small positive but weak strength, belongs to technical repair, not confirmed reversal.
- Key Signal: Stabilizing at $3170 with increased volume can turn bullish; breaking below $3000 increases the probability of dropping to $2850 significantly.
3. Drivers and Risks
- Positive: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December + stopping QT provides liquidity support; ETH staking yield stable (about 4.2%), long-term locked positions rebound.
- Risks: Uncertainty of regulatory policies; BTC sideways/continued decline drags down; low liquidity on weekends easily amplifies volatility.
4. Operational Suggestions (Diverse Strategies)
1. Short-term Trading:
- Reduce positions in batches as it rebounds to $3170-3200, stop loss at $3000; try a light long as it pulls back to $3000-3050, target $3140-3170, quick in and out.
2. Dollar-Cost Averaging/Mid-term:
- Build positions in batches in the $3000-3100 range, add one tier for every 5% drop; hold until $3390 breakthrough adds positions, target $3500+, stop loss at $2850. $ETH
