I will directly give you clear and actionable long and short trading guidelines, no detours, based on a comprehensive judgment of the current 15m / 1h / 4h / daily / weekly charts.
1. Current market characterization (one-sentence conclusion)
ETH = rebound oscillation at the end of a major bearish structure
Now is not a trend for longs, but a rebound phase for shorts.
Price around 3109, essentially is:
Technical recovery after a decline + consolidation under moving average pressure
2. Key structural positions (just focus on these few numbers)
1️⃣ Key resistance above (shorting zone)
• 3125 – 3150:
• 1H / 4H EMA25 nearby
• Previous rebound high point & dense trading area
👉 The main force loves to 'give you a fake breakout' here
• 3180 – 3200 (limit)
• Only strong pull will reach
• Reaching here = a life-and-death level short point
2️⃣ Key support below (take profit / buy area)
• 3050 – 3020:
• 15m / 1H lower edge
• First target level
• 2980 – 2950:
• 4H structure low point
• Core take profit zone for shorts
• 2900 – 2850 (extreme)
• Only look when the market resonates downwards
• Only consider wave trading here
Three, [practical plan] place orders accordingly
✅ Plan 1: Main push —— Shorting on rebound (high win rate)
Shorting range:
• 3125 – 3150 scale shorts
• Aggressive: start testing above 3120
• Steady: confirm weakness around 3140 before shorting
Stop loss:
• Stop loss firmly established above 3185 on 15m
Target:
• First target: 3050
• Second target: 3000
• Third target: 2950
👉 This is the current optimal solution
⚠️ Plan 2: Short-term speculation (only suitable for quick in and out)
Premise:
• Pullback 3000 ±20
• 15m appears:
• Large volume bullish line
• KDJ low position golden cross
• MACD red column re-expanding
Going long:
• 2980 – 3020
Stop loss:
• 2950 breaks down
Take profit:
• 3080 – 3120
⚠️ Don’t fall in love with the battle, don’t look for new highs
Four, why I don’t recommend chasing bullish now?
① Large cycle EMA99 all above the head
• Daily / 4H are both rebounding to touch the moving average
• Not a trend reversal pattern
② MACD is just a fix, not a reversal
• Daily and weekly still bear columns
• No trend reversal conditions
③ K-line structure = sideways after a rebound
Long horizontal must fall
Not always up after a long horizontal period
Five, one sentence to execute discipline (very important)
Don’t chase bullish above 3120, not shorting at 3150 is foolish
Below 3000 only take profit on shorts, don’t fantasize about a bullish trend!
Currently holding positions, long position 3141 automatically profitable, starting short position single model.
