Will Bitcoin rise again? One-sentence conclusion
Bitcoin "will rise again," but not in a straight line; it will rise amidst fluctuations.
The question is no longer "will it rise," but rather — can you endure the washout along the way?
Why do I say it will rise again (core logic)
① The big cycle is not over
Currently, Bitcoin is still in the middle of a bull market, not at the end.
Historically, every round of bull markets follows a pattern:
First breakout → Surge → Deep fluctuations washing out investors → New highs
We are clearly in the "fluctuation washout" stage now.
② No withdrawal of funds
• ETF funds have not shown sustained large-scale outflows
• Long-term holders (old addresses) show no significant signs of distribution
• The real panic selling is mainly from highly leveraged short-term funds
In other words:
Smart money hasn’t left; what has left are those who cannot withstand the volatility.
③ The macro situation has not reversed
• The market is still trading on interest rate cut expectations / Liquidity recovery
• Risk assets overall have not entered systemic contraction
• Bitcoin is already seen as an "alternative core asset," not purely a speculative item
As long as there is no cliff-like tightening of liquidity, it is hard for Bitcoin to directly end the bull market.
So why do many people feel "it’s going to crash"?
Because:
• If it can’t rise, they feel anxious
• If it consolidates for too long, they start to doubt
• If there’s a single correction, they think it’s the end of the world
In a bull market, emotions always collapse before the market does.
The most likely trend next (realistic version)
It’s neither a sharp rise nor a sharp fall, but rather:
Repeated fluctuations at high positions → Both long and short get wiped out → Then choose a direction to break upwards
The real risk is not in "will it rise," but in:
Will you get washed out during the fluctuations?
Here’s a straightforward statement for you
If you are asking "will it rise" now, it means you have already been influenced by market emotions.
Those who truly make money focus on:
• Whether the position is reasonable
• If they have left themselves some bullets
• Whether they can hold on until the trend ends $BTC
