#美国非农数据超预期
The non-farm payroll report for the United States, to be released next Tuesday, will include data for October and November, ultimately providing policymakers and investors with a more complete picture of the U.S. labor market, ending months of partial uncertainty. The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to a three-year low after a meeting this week marked by significant divisions, with several officials dissenting; the debate centers on whether to prioritize addressing high inflation or the weak job market. Citigroup economists point out that the upcoming employment report may send more mixed signals. The bank expects a decrease of about 45,000 jobs in October, but an increase of 80,000 in November. Citigroup economists state that this rebound may be more related to seasonal data adjustments rather than a true improvement in worker demand. They also predict that the unemployment rate will rise from 4.4% to 4.52%, while a Reuters survey of economists shows an unemployment rate of 4.4%. The Federal Reserve's own quarterly forecast indicates that the median unemployment rate is expected to be around 4.5% by the end of this year.
