#分享您对BTC的看法

As of December 15th at 7:00 (BTC approximately $88,800), the short-term trend is slightly bullish, while the medium-term is bearish. The key levels to watch are 88,000 and 90,000: staying above 88,000 is bullish, while breaking below turns bearish; breaking above 90,000 opens up upward space, but facing resistance will lead to a pullback.

Basis for judgment👇

- Technical Analysis: The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with 88,000-88,500 as short-term support and 90,000-91,000 as strong resistance; RSI is neutral, and MACD is near the zero line, with no clear directional signal.

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- Fund Flows and Sentiment: Whales are slightly increasing their holdings in the 88,000-89,000 range, retail positions are stable; the long-to-short ratio is about 1.02, sentiment is neutral, and CEX net outflows are slowing down.

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- Fundamentals: The U.S. institutions receiving trust licenses are positive for long-term compliance, but the Federal Reserve's unclear policies, tightening regulations on stablecoins, and Japan's interest rate hike expectations are suppressing risk appetite.

Trading Stop-Loss Strategy👇

- Going Long: Enter at 88,000-88,500, stop-loss at 87,500, target at 89,500-90,000, if broken look for 91,000+.

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- Going Short: Enter at 90,000-90,500, stop-loss at 91,000, target at 89,000-88,500, if broken look for 87,500-87,000.