ETH Long and Short Battle Upgrades: Key Position Game Intensifies, Waiting for a Breakthrough Signal
The current ETH market's long and short game has entered a critical stage, with the competition around the core price increasingly fierce, short-term volatility significantly rising, and market sentiment highly tense. The technical aspect shows a trend of narrowing fluctuations, with a directional choice ready to explode. On-chain data indicates a clear divergence in large holders’ positions—some choose to reduce holdings at highs, while others go against the trend to accumulate, reflecting the divergence in the judgment of main funds. At nodes with relatively weak liquidity, prices can easily trigger severe fluctuations due to a small number of large orders, even leading to chain liquidations and becoming the fuse for a market turning point.
Market sentiment oscillates between FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) and anxiety over missing opportunities, and the main players may be using this to create false breakouts to lure buyers or sellers. Investors need to stay calm, avoid emotional trading, and focus on the price's volume-price coordination at key levels and the dynamics of large on-chain transfers to identify real breakout signals.
📊 Technical Analysis:
💰 Current Price: 3057.0 USDT
🟢 Key Support Level: 3041.1 (only 0.52% away from the current price, close to strong support, with value for short-term long positions)
🟩 Support Range: 3041.1 – 3048.32, a recently dense trading area, with strong support expectations
🔴 Key Resistance Level: 3135.0 (1H level, 2.03% away from the current price), breaking through requires volume support, beware of false breakout traps
🟥 Resistance Range: 3095.0 – 3135.0, gathering multiple technical pressures, will become the main hurdle for upward movement
💡 Strategy Suggestions:
• 🛒 Long Strategy: When the price retraces to the support range, you can place buy orders in batches, prioritizing the stability signals near 3041.1
🎯 Take-Profit Target: The first target looks at 3095, and after breaking through, can look up at the resistance range, taking profits in stages for safety
• ⚠️ Risk Warning: The current market is in a turning point window, avoid heavy positions, strictly control leverage, and guard against spike and liquidity risks
🧠 Core Logic: In a market with high control and high volatility, price is just a facade, while the flow of funds is the truth. Stay rational, think counterintuitively, and only then can you maintain clarity amid the chaos and seize opportunities at turning points.
