#ETH走势分析

Short-term volatility is slightly bearish, but there is strong support below.

1. Real-time Price and Volatility

Today, ETH hit a low of $3023 and is currently hovering around $3100 (a slight rebound from yesterday), with a 24-hour decline of approximately 1.5%-1.6%. Trading range: Intraday high approximately $3128, low $3023, generally in the lower half of the recent trading range ($3000-$3200).

2. Technical Analysis

Daily chart: Price is below the 50-day/200-day moving averages, with an overall downward trend; the MACD is contracting below the zero line, indicating weakening bullish momentum, but there is technical support around $3000 (the lower edge of the previous trading range);

Bollinger Band middle line support is at $3076, and lower line support is at $2835. 4-Hour Chart: The EMA indicator is contracting, with short-term resistance at $3170 and a lower Bollinger Band support level at $3011. The price attempted to stabilize above $3100, but the rebound was limited, indicating short covering rather than new long positions being established.

3. Key Support and Resistance

Support levels: $3000 (psychological level + technical support) → $2880 (secondary support); Resistance levels: $3170 (short-term resistance) → $3296 (moving average cluster resistance).

4. Market Sentiment and Influencing Factors

The overall crypto market corrected today (Bitcoin fell below $88,000), dragging down ETH's performance. Institutional funds are in a "wait-and-see" state, with a slight net outflow from ETFs. However, the ETH supply on exchanges is low (only 8.7%), limiting selling pressure.

Summary: Wu Ge provides a simple analysis of today's two-coin (二饼) chart. The current price is relatively high, indicating a short-term bearish bias. As long as it doesn't break 3170, you can continue to hold.

Follow Wu Ge, and doubling your investment is just a matter of time. Large positions can easily double, and there are methods for small positions too! Take it slow, focus on win rate, not quantity!