Recently, many people have been asking me: Why did interest rates drop, but Bitcoin and Ethereum are not rising and are instead falling? The answer is actually quite simple.

You just need to remember an old saying: Buy the expectation, sell the fact.

The matter of lowering interest rates is not something the market just learned today; it has already been priced in weeks, or even months, in advance.

Funds enter during the expectation phase, and by the time it actually happens, those who should have bought have already bought,

what's left are just chips for cashing in profits.

So the result you often see is: At the moment the good news is announced, it actually becomes a pressure point for the short term. This is also why the ETH short positions that were laid out around 3400

managed to capture a significant gain.

It's not that the news is magical, but that the timing was right. So what’s next?

When is the right time to reposition for long positions?

It's simple: it's not about guessing, nor about emotions, but rather waiting for the market to fully digest the emotions, waiting for those who should have exited to finish, and waiting for the market to give a definitive structural signal again.

If you still can't distinguish:

What is expectation,

What is reality,

At what position to enter,

At what position to wait?

Then don't stubbornly hold on, and don't guess randomly.

It's better to honestly ask than to pay tuition with real money.

The market has opportunities every day; what’s lacking is only the judgment at the correct timing. #ETH走势分析