🏝️Volatility Calendar of the Week (16.12 - 19.12) 🏝️
🎢We are in for a super-volatile week! Key focuses are the labor market, inflation, and option expiration. Work with caution on leverage!
🗓️ TUESDAY (16 DECEMBER) — Labor Market (16:30 MSK)
Data on Employment and Unemployment Rate in the USA will be published.
🏋️♀️ Strong market: ✅ The US economy is healthy. The Fed can keep the rate higher for longer.
👨🦯➡️ Weak market: 🛑 Risk of recession. May force the Fed to lower the rate faster to support the economy.
🗓️ THURSDAY (18 DECEMBER) — Inflation (16:30 MSK)
The main focus is the level of inflation.
💔 Only a strong decline may push the Fed towards quicker easing of policy.
❗️ Danger: A combination of weak employment + rising inflation = Stagflation. This is the worst scenario, causing panic.
🗓️ FRIDAY (19 DECEMBER) — Triple Strike🤜
1️⃣ 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan (06:00 MSK) - Rate decision.
🏴 A rate hike by the BoJ may trigger sell-offs in global markets (stocks/crypto), as investors repay loans in yen taken at 0%.
👿🔫 Witch's Friday (All day)
🎢 Extremely volatile day! Options on indices and futures are expiring. Market participants will manipulate quotes to protect their positions.
3️⃣ Priority Inflation (16:30 MSK)
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index is published. This is the main inflation indicator that the Fed relies on when making all decisions.
💡 Summary: Prepare for sharp movements. On data release days and on Friday, it is better to reduce risks and working volumes.
🤝 Wishing you a light and profitable week🤝
@TradeNet_3000_ai
