Friends, running into this is fate. I won't write any nonsense tonight. As someone who has been in the crypto space for five to six years as an old veteran and a self-taught analyst, I'll get straight to the conclusion: the next 12 hours may be the most worthwhile window for you to stay up and watch Bitcoin this year, bar none.
Yes, it's from Monday morning until 8 AM Beijing time. Don't ask me why I always change positions at strange times; the market specializes in various forms of non-compliance, especially likes to launch surprise attacks when you're sleeping the soundest.
1. My core logic: Where the weekly line closes determines whether you wake up smiling or delete the app.
Let me first express my personal opinion (note, it is 'personal'):
1. If the price falls below 87000 before 8 AM tomorrow
So don't fantasize; the market sentiment and structure have already explained everything. This is not a correction; it is a directional choice at the weekly level. You need to be mentally prepared to look down at the next support level. Remember, once established, any short-term rebound is an opportunity for you to reduce your position; don't fall in love with the battle.
2. If it holds above 89000 (better if it touches 90,000)
Then I have to open up my perspective. This means that the bulls not only held the bottom line but also accumulated enough momentum to launch upward. As long as they stand firm, I believe the rebound will come quickly and fiercely; the first target of 100,000 is not a dream, and it won't be as sluggish and oscillating for two or three months as before; it may accelerate.
3. Why is it 8 AM tomorrow?
Because this is a critical time point for weekly closing, many institutions and large holders' position preferences will be determined after this time window. Simply put, this is the moment of confrontation between bulls and bears; whoever wins helps whoever.
2. A not sensitive 'dry goods' reminder.
I know you don't like to hear 'maybe' or 'perhaps', but the market never has 100%. What I can tell you is:
Observe whether the trading volume suddenly expands at key positions, especially between 3-5 AM (you know, overseas main forces like to do things at this time).
Don't be fooled by momentary spikes; look at the stable price levels, which are neither the highest nor the lowest, but where it remains stable most of the time.
If the direction goes the other way, remember what I often said during the live broadcast: admit it if you are wrong, wait for the next clear structure before taking action; it's not embarrassing.
3. Lastly, let me say something human.
In this market, some people have made quick money by luck, but in the end, those who remain are the ones who can wait, understand, and dare to act as well as to pull back.
I am not a god, but I will use my experience to give you the most straightforward deduction at every critical point. By the way, we eat meat together; if I'm wrong, I'll also help you analyze it.
If you think this article has some substance, don't rush to scroll away, click to follow@加密崎哥 #加密市场观察 $BTC $ETH
