The Bloodbath of Bitcoin❗
Market Outlook: (Is there a major move at the 80,000 iron bottom?)
Given the macro factors in the market, is 200,000 Bitcoin just a pipe dream? This is an unknown, and moreover, we who are in the game are relatively blind and cannot look that far ahead, yes or no?
Phased Madness: By the end of 2023 and the end of 2024, both are on explosive upward trends, extreme one-sidedness. Looking back, will the end of 2025 be similar? If I have to give an answer, it is unknown. Conversely, the first alert given by the current trends is (crazy liquidation). When prices are high, liquidity becomes poor; at low prices, human nature can be better understood, accumulating more. What the market plays is human nature, which is an unchanging principle throughout history. Of course, this is also the market giving me a certain sense of the game, the early birds catch the worm, while the latecomers are left behind. One must plan for the long term.
Predictive Remarks: 80,600 cannot be considered the iron bottom; rather, it gives me the feeling that the probability of a double dip is gradually increasing. By carefully examining the structural changes during the previous crashes and surges, it can be seen as a definitional dimension for buying and selling. Testing the bottom at 80,600, with large fluctuations in the daily structure, and the line indicators contracting, if we test the 95,000 area multiple times in the short term, can we assume that there is a certain box structure here? As for whether it will break through 100,000, that is not something to worry about at this stage. Since the limits are already set, has the stop-loss been established? Then adjust your profit-loss ratio for taking profits; only by doing so will there be answers.
Conclusion: For intraday small positions, consider shorting in the 90,000 area, aiming for a break below 80,000. Looking further, still short at 92,000-93,000 with the same take-profit position. As for the stop-loss, it depends on whether you considered adding positions before opening a trade. In any case, treat 95,000 as the best stop-loss level.
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