
Theoretically: Yes, itโs possible.
Practically (right now): The probability is low โ but not zero.
Letโs break it down ๐
๐ Current situation from the charts
Current price is around $850
Clear break below most moving averages:
MA7 and MA25 above price โ
Price below MA99 โ
RSI โ 29 โ Oversold
MACD is negative but starting to slow down โ downside momentum is weakening
Last strong support tested: $790โ$800
This means:
The market is weak, but it is not in a free fall
๐งฑ Key support levels
Before even thinking about $600, price would have to break several major supports:
$800โ$790 โ Very strong support (previously tested and bounced)
$700โ$720 โ Psychological + technical support
$640โ$660 โ Historical support
$600 โ Extremely strong support (institutional buying zone)
๐ Reaching $600 would mean:
Breaking all these levels with strong momentum
Most likely requiring a major negative event
(a broad crypto market crash or a very strong negative Binance-related news)
๐ Estimated probabilities (not 100% scientific)
Based on current data only:
๐ด Continuation down to $790โ$760
๐ 40โ45% probability
๐ก Consolidation then bounce from $800โ$850
๐ 35โ40% probability
๐ด๐ด Deep drop to $600 in the near term
๐ Only 10โ15% probability at the moment
โ When should I really worry about $600?
If the following happens:
Daily close below $780
RSI stays below 30 for an extended period
High selling volume (panic selling)
A clean break of $700 without a bounce
Then:
Yes, the $600 scenario becomes very realistic
๐ง Honest summary
$600 is not impossible theoretically
But it is not the most likely scenario right now
The more probable path is:
A test of $790โ$800
Either a technical bounce
Or a long consolidation before a major move
BNB619.49+0.66%
BTC77,958.56+2.14%
