According to Wallstreetcn, JPMorgan Chase has once again sharply raised its Kospi index target, lifting its base case from 10,000 to 12,500 and setting a bull-case target of 15,000 — the third upgrade in two months and the second in under a month. The bank continues to rank Korea as its top Asian equity market, advising investors to add exposure on pullbacks. The upgrade path has been aggressive: JPMorgan initiated coverage in late April with a 7,000 base target and 8,500 bull case, raised it in May to 9,000/10,000, and now stands at 12,500/15,000 with an 8,000 bear case.
The core thesis rests on Korean memory chipmakers' profits having reached a scale sufficient to influence corporate tax revenue, household wealth, and government fiscal receipts, making Korea one of the most direct equity-market beneficiaries of the global AI cycle. JPMorgan maintains its call for a "higher for longer" memory cycle, with storage chips accounting for roughly 50% of the Kospi's weighting and contributing about 70% of its gains earlier this year.
Goldman Sachs recently raised its Kospi target to 12,000 and Morgan Stanley to 10,500. Despite the bullish fundamentals, JPMorgan flagged structural pressures: foreign investors have sold approximately $95 billion in Korean equities year-to-date — over 90% concentrated in the two largest memory chip stocks — as emerging-market investors hit mandate limits and are forced to trim on rallies. Korean leveraged ETFs linked to local equities have grown to about $50 billion, amplifying price swings through futures, options, and spot-market activity. Domestic retail investors have absorbed roughly $80 billion in local stocks this year, partially offsetting foreign outflows, as residents repatriate funds from overseas equities and limited real-estate investment channels boost the relative appeal of stocks.
