Brothers, tonight at 9:30 PM, the global market's spotlight is on this chart. Five key US economic indicators are about to be announced simultaneously, especially the first two five-star indicators—unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls, which directly influence the Federal Reserve's pulse on interest rate cuts next year, and are key external forces determining the short-term direction of Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Brother Niu's in-depth interpretation is condensed into three points.

First, the key is to observe the gap between expectations and reality. The market currently predicts about 50,000 new jobs, with the unemployment rate holding at 4.4%. The real highlight is not the data itself, but whether the actual published values significantly deviate from expectations. If the employment data is far below expectations, while the unemployment rate jumps significantly, this could likely strengthen the market's bets on interest rate cuts, thereby boosting sentiment for risk assets. Conversely, if the data is strong, the recent enthusiasm for speculating on rate cuts may temporarily cool down.

Second, be sure to be wary of the market digesting expectations ahead of time. Recent market movements have already been trading on the logic of economic slowdown prompting a policy shift. What needs to be cautious is that even if the data superficially looks good, such as a rise in the unemployment rate, after the news lands, the market may experience a short-term pullback due to profit-taking. A truly sustainable direction often only becomes clear half an hour to an hour after the data is published, when market sentiment stabilizes.

Third, regarding specific operation rhythm suggestions. The moment the data is released, market volatility is bound to intensify, and ordinary investors should remain calm, especially avoiding heavy bets in a single direction. There are two prudent strategies: either appropriately reduce positions before the data is released to actively avoid uncertainty, or patiently wait for the data to be released, allowing the market to make directional choices, and only when clear breakout signals appear, follow the trend with a light position.

Tonight, in addition to closely watching coin prices, please pay attention to the immediate reactions of the US dollar index and US stock futures, as they can provide a clearer market sentiment barometer.

I am Brother Niu, never making gamble-style predictions on data, only focusing on developing response plans. Follow me, and I'll help you see the ups and downs of the crypto world with a macro lens. #巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察