In Kalshi's "Best AI by End of 2025" prediction market, Gemini has all but secured victory

BlockBeats News, December 17th, according to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market on Kalshi "What is the best AI by the end of 2025" market, the probability of Google's Gemini winning has risen to 94%, OpenAI's ChatGPT underdog probability is 5%, xAI's Grok underdog probability is 1%. The trading volume of this prediction market has reached 14.71 million USD. At the beginning of this year, Gemini's winning probability was 30%, ChatGPT's winning probability was 41%, Grok's winning probability was 14%. The final settlement of this prediction market will be based on LM Arena leaderboard data.In addition, the release date of Google's Gemini new model is approaching, suspected to be locked by Google insider NCW again today (December 17th). NCW has previously accurately locked the release date of Gemini 3.0 Flash in the second half of December, making a profit of nearly $4000, with all 4 of this individual's historical trades related to Gemini product release date propositions. NCW recently set December 17th as the release date for Gemini 3.0 Flash, while buying "No" on the 16th and "Yes" on the 17th, at average prices of 80c and 78c respectively, both positions are currently in profit.