Hello everyone, today is December 17, 2025 (Wednesday)
The overall market shows a mild rebound with low liquidity, influenced by the aftermath of adjustments in the US stock market, year-end capital rebalancing, and cautious buying by institutions. Market sentiment leans towards fear but with slight recovery.
The global cryptocurrency market capitalization remains stable around $2.94-3.03 trillion, with slight fluctuations over the past 24 hours. BTC dominance is maintained at 57%-58.7%.
Trading volume is relatively stable, the Fear & Greed index shows 25 (Fear), the overall RSI is slightly oversold, it is recommended to maintain a light position or adopt a wait-and-see approach.
The following is a daily review and outlook for the four major cryptocurrencies based on the latest real-time market conditions (from noon to evening UTC).
Overall judgment: Short-term bearish pressure eases, rebound is a technical repair, need to focus on the gains and losses of key resistance levels and end-of-year tax loss risks.
$BTC (Bitcoin)
Current price: about 86,600-86,800 USD (24h increase of about 0.3%).
Intraday trend: mild stabilization rebound after yesterday's correction, recovering some lost ground, but trading volume did not significantly increase, showing cautious bullish strength.
Key level:
Resistance area: 87,500-88,000 (if the rebound meets resistance, consider short positions).
Support area: 86,000-86,500 (if held, horizontal repair will continue).
View update: If it further breaks through 88,000, it can look towards 90,000; otherwise, end-of-year tax loss pressure may amplify the correction, with the next phased target being 85,000 or even lower. Dominance slightly rising reflects risk-averse sentiment.
Operation suggestion: Focus on short-term high selling and low buying, avoid heavy positions chasing long, beware of sudden spike risks.
$ETH (Ethereum)
Current price: about 2,920-2,930 USD (24h increase of about 0.7%).
Intraday trend: slightly rebounds following the market, temporarily holding above 2,900, ETF fund inflow slows but signs of institutional dip buying appear, weakness has eased.
Key level:
Resistance area: 3,000-3,100 (if it cannot effectively break through, the bearish trend will continue).
Support area: 2,900-2,850 (important psychological level, breaching will accelerate downward movement).
View update: The effective intraday fluctuation range has moved up to 2,920-3,000, with slightly expanded operational space. If it cannot return above 3,000, the next target points to around 2,800.
Operation suggestion: Light short positions near resistance, attempt extremely light long positions near support, strictly control positions.
$SOL (Solana)
Current price: about 126-127 USD (24h increase of about 1.3%).
Intraday trend: narrow fluctuations followed by relatively strong rise, ecological DEX trading volume leads but overall heat still needs observation.
Key level:
Support: 126 (if held, small rebounds can continue).
Resistance: 130-132 (if the breakthrough fails, the daily bearish pattern remains unchanged).
View update: If it falls below 126, it will open up a second probing space, target 125-123; if it breaks through 130, it is expected to test higher resistance.
Operation suggestion: 126 effective support can be used for short-term long positions to aim for 130; if resistance does not break, exit in time or take light short positions.
$BNB
Current price: about 856-857 USD (24h increase of about 0.7%).
Intraday trend: performs relatively steadily under platform ecological support, trading volume increases, showing certain resilience.
Key level:
Resistance: 870-880 (only breaking through can open up a second surge space at 900).
Support: 850-840.
View update: Failed to sustain a breakthrough at 870, short-term upward movement is restricted; if it can stabilize above 870, there is strong rebound potential.
Operation suggestion: Focus on short positions below 870, consider low buying near 850 to capture rebounds.
Market summary:
The market has entered a mild repair phase after earlier corrections, but fear sentiment (Fear 25) and oversold signals show investors are cautious. The end-of-year effect combined with macro uncertainty presents neutral risks in the short term.
Unless BTC quickly stabilizes above 88,000, rebounds are mostly for inducing longs or of a repair nature, the recent 'rapid fall after rise' continuation pattern may persist.
Risk warning: It is recommended to strictly control positions, set stop-loss and take-profit, and avoid heavy positions for chasing highs and lows.
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Market fluctuations are severe, be sure to pay attention to risk control! (Koi Festival saves handling fee invitation code: HAOYUN666666)
