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Could Bitcoin Be Moving Into a Supercycle? Understanding Why This Cycle Is Unique Bitcoin (BTC) may be transitioning into a "supercycle," breaking the standard four-year boom-and-bust pattern, according to new data highlighting key structural changes in the market. The data suggests a shift in the Bitcoin ecosystem, with institutional demand, driven by spot Bitcoin ETFs, and declining exchange reserves indicating more long-term holding. The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) also points to controlled profit-taking rather than rampant selling. Macro conditions, including geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of future monetary easing, are contributing to Bitcoin's appeal as a scarce asset. However, the possibility of external shocks could still disrupt the supercycle. Analysts also believe Bitcoin is no longer strictly following its four-year cycle due to a lack of classic late-cycle signals and early selling. They propose that Bitcoin may be moving into a more mature, liquidity-driven phase, potentially extending the bull market beyond halving timeline expectations.

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XRP ETFs Remain Strong, Outshining BTC and ETH Funds Even with Slowing Inflows Over 30 days since the launch of the first US-based spot XRP ETF with 100% exposure, it continues to perform strongly, outperforming its BTC, ETH, and SOL counterparts. Canary Capital’s XRPC launched on November 13, breaking 2025 trading volume records with nearly $60 million and daily net inflows over $240 million. Although inflows have slowed, no day has seen net outflows, a feat not achieved by Bitcoin or Ethereum ETFs. Total inflows for XRP ETFs have reached over $1 billion. Meanwhile, spot Ethereum ETFs have lost almost $1 billion and BTC funds have seen a $3 billion reduction. Despite high inflows for XRP ETFs, the underlying Ripple token's value has dropped, potentially due to the overall market crash and whales selling off almost 1.2 billion tokens in the past month.

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Critical Juncture for Ethereum: Will it Soar to $4,300 or Plummet to $1,400? Ethereum (ETH) is trading near $2,900 after a 12% fall in the past week but remains above a key technical level. Crypto analyst StockTrader_Max noted that ETH is holding above its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement near $2,940, suggesting a possible upward move towards $4,300. However, if ETH breaks below $2,630, the outlook weakens, and the structure would be considered invalid below $1,390. Meanwhile, some charts show ETH breaking out from a falling wedge on the longer-term 5-day chart, indicating potential upward moves. But not all outlooks are optimistic, with some predicting a fall to $2,000 or even $1,100. Despite this, large holders like BitMine Immersion Technologies are accumulating ETH, suggesting larger buyers are stepping in.

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Experienced Analyst Discusses Reasons for Bitcoin's Static Performance Bitcoin's lack of growth is due to a selling pressure that currently outweighs the buying demand, as explained by the Stock-to-Flow model founder, PlanB. This analyst attributes half of the selling pressure to investors traumatized by 2021, technical investors observing the relative strength index, and those expecting a bear market two years post-halving. The remaining 50% is buying pressure from investors looking at fundamentals, institutional, TradFi, and banks. Despite the bears winning the current battle, they haven't won the war. Bitcoin's recent 31% decline from its all-time high is not unusual and has been seen in previous cycles. Crypto entrepreneur Joe Consorti believes Bitcoin can go lower from here, but it's not his base case. Bloomberg Intelligence's senior commodity strategist, Mike McGlone, expects Bitcoin to fall back to $10,000.

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PancakeSwap and YZi Labs Introduce No-Fee Forecasting Market on BNB Chain Decentralized exchange leader PancakeSwap and venture studio YZi Labs are co-launching Probable, a zero-fee prediction market platform on the BNB Chain. Probable promises to make on-chain predictions faster and more accessible, without platform fees or hidden charges. The platform will allow users to wager on a variety of events, such as cryptocurrency price movements, sports, and global events. All markets will be settled on-chain for transparency. Probable will rely on UMA's Optimistic Oracle for verifying real-world event outcomes, ensuring tamper-resistant results. This new platform joins a rapidly growing sector that is attracting significant attention and capital, with recent activity demonstrating increasing mainstream and institutional interest in prediction markets.

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