BTC has fallen by 3.8% in price over the past 24 hours, indicating a bearish trend in the market.

1. Government Adoption: Bhutan's strategic use of Bitcoin as a reserve asset highlights the increasing acceptance by institutions.

2. Regulatory Integration: The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has conditionally approved cryptocurrency companies, as well as banks providing Bitcoin products, indicating that the traditional financial system is gradually integrating cryptocurrency.

3. Macroeconomic Concerns: The Bank of Japan is set to raise interest rates, which could trigger a significant decline in Bitcoin prices, reminiscent of past similar events.

Highlights

1. On the Government Level: Bhutan has committed to reserving up to 10,000 BTC for its Gelephu smart city, making it a significant government holder and showcasing a national strategy to promote sustainable growth by using Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.

2. Institutional Adoption: Five cryptocurrency companies have received conditional approval from the OCC to become federally chartered trust banks, while 14 of the top 25 banks in the U.S. are offering Bitcoin-related products, indicating that cryptocurrency is increasingly being integrated into the traditional financial system.

3. Corporate Accumulation: Nasdaq-listed CIMG has purchased an additional 230 BTC for $24.6 million, bringing its total holdings to 730 BTC, indicating that the company views the current market as a strategic entry point for further accumulation.

Risks

1. Macroeconomic Headwinds: The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates on December 19, 2025, which poses a significant risk since Bitcoin prices fell by 27% after rate hikes in July 2024 and January 2025.

2. Liquidity Pressure: The narrowing interest rate differential is causing liquidity pressure globally in the yen arbitrage trades, which may lead to selling pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.

3. Price Momentum: Bitcoin's price has decreased by 3.8% in the past 24 hours, with a 6-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI6) of 44.43, indicating a lack of strong buying momentum and the possibility of continued downward price movement. #巨鲸动向 $BTC

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