BANK OF JAPAN

Polymarket is pricing in a 25 bps rate hike by the Bank of Japan in December with ~98% probability.

That’s a big shift after years of ultra-loose policy.

Why this matters:

- Stronger JPY tightens global liquidity

- Risk assets usually react to BOJ surprises

- Any deviation from expectations could trigger sharp moves across FX, equities and crypto

The BOJ doesn’t hike often when it does, markets listen closely.