$FOLKS ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐๐๐๐๐ฅณ๐ฅณ๐ฅณ๐ฅฐ๐ฅฐ๐ต๐ต๐ต๐๐โค๏ธโค๏ธ๐๐๐ค๐ค๐คฏ๐คฏ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐คฃ๐คฃ๐คฌ๐คฌDear Traders,
Tomorrowโs Japanese interest rate decision is on the radar. Iโve studied past market reactions, especially periods when rates were hiked by 25 bps.
The key difference this time: expectation vs surprise.
Last yearโs unexpected hike triggered a sharp BTC drop from 62,000 โ 49,590. That move happened because the market was unprepared.
This time, the news is already priced in. Most traders are positioned short, and liquidity is building on that side.
From my analysis, the downside looks limited.
Maximum drawdown I expect is around 5% โ $BTC testing 80,200, possibly 78,500, and in an extreme case 74,500. After that, a strong recovery toward 89,500 is likely.
Looking ahead, next weekโs structure points toward the 101,500 zone.
@Crypto_LUX focuses on impact, positioning, and liquidity โ not headlines.
Direction matters more than fear.
For any questions, comment below.
