The market situation these days is less about price movement and more about probing human nature.
CPI has not been announced yet, and the Bank of Japan's attitude hangs in the balance, with global funds collectively on the sidelines. The market lacks certainty, not information. And in such moments, people are more prone to mistakenly believe that if they make just a few more judgments or take on a bit more position, they can grasp the answer in advance.
Almost all important philosophical traditions repeatedly remind us of the same thing: a person's greatest suffering often comes from an excessive obsession with uncontrollable matters.
The Stoics believe that what truly belongs to you are only your judgments and choices; price, direction, and results are never within your control. The cryptocurrency world is precisely an extreme testing ground for this concept, constantly reminding you that what you think is control is actually just a delayed realization of risk.
In the current market structure, this tension is very evident.
Bitcoin is repeatedly tugging back and forth in a critical range, seemingly choosing a direction, but in reality, it's consuming patience. The bulls below are unwilling to give up, and the bears above are reluctant to cover early; everyone is waiting for an external force to make the decision for them. The market isn't in a hurry to provide answers; it’s more like quietly observing: who will lose their composure first.
Nietzsche said that humanity's greatest illusion is the belief that the world needs to operate according to one's will.
The cruelest aspect of the market is that it never responds to your expectations; it only responds to structure and capital. The more you want to prove you're right, the easier it is to turn your positions into beliefs and treat risk as patience.
The repeated movements around Ethereum at $3000 are actually a reflection of this psychology.
The importance of this position is not entirely due to its technical significance, but because too many people invest their emotions here. Once the price needs to be consistently defended to hold, it has already transformed from support into a psychological burden.
You will find that the current market sentiment is very subtle.
Fear has not been completely released, but greed has obviously retreated. ETF funds are choosing to contract, and year-end funds are more inclined to reduce volatility exposure. It's not that everyone suddenly became pessimistic, but rather that they realized that before the macro conditions are determined, actively betting is itself a high-cost behavior.
Heidegger once said that a person's true dilemma lies not in uncertainty, but in the inability to coexist with that uncertainty.
。
Much of people's anxiety actually doesn't stem from the market, but from the impulse to know the outcome right now. But the market never owes anyone an immediate answer; it only provides calm and ruthless feedback at the right time.
Perhaps what this market truly wants to teach is not how to predict direction, but how to place oneself.
Not every period is suitable for an offensive; not every fluctuation is worth participating in. In some phases, the most scarce resource is not opportunity, but restraint.
When you stop trying to control the future, the future will not easily breach you.
A direction will eventually emerge, but before that, being able to maintain the boundaries of one’s heart is often more important than judging right or wrong.
