Predict.fun launched what it describes as the first real-time 'mention-based' prediction market, allowing users to bet on which words Changpeng Zhao (CZ) will actually say during his upcoming BNB Chain AMA.
The market was launched ahead of the AMA session on December 18, scheduled for 16:30 UTC+4, and is directly integrated with a live stream of the event.
Real-time prediction market tracks CZ mentions during BNB Chain AMA.
The product has been named 'CZ Mention Market' and gives participants the opportunity to wager on whether CZ will mention certain keywords more frequently than predetermined thresholds during the AMA.
Among other things, one can bet on whether he will say 'BNB' more than five times, 'Builder' more than three times, or reference other names and themes during the discussion.
According to data cited by crypto expert AB Kuai Dong, the market quickly reached a strong consensus.
'I checked, and there is a 94% probability that people have already bet that CZ will definitely mention the term BNB more than 5 times,' wrote Kuai Dong, showing how traders' expectations were formed even before the AMA started.
Kuai Dong pointed out that the setup shows how prediction markets are increasingly used for unconventional events. He compared the experience to audience voting during live entertainment programs, but with outcomes driven by crypto markets instead of centralized platforms.
'Everything has become predictable, from politics at the top to a single online live stream at the bottom,' he added.
Predict.fun presented the launch as a milestone for the sector, stating that they introduced the concept 'for the first time in the history of prediction markets.'
The platform emphasized that users can follow the outcomes in real-time via the integrated live stream on the market page while the AMA is ongoing.
The AMA itself, organized by BNB Chain, is structured as an end-of-year review and a look ahead. In a message from BNB Chain, the session is described as a summary of 2025 and future developments for builders, the network itself, and the broader ecosystem.
Prediction markets are expanding into real-time attention trading.
CZ entered the prediction market early in December, when he pointed out that users' funds can generate returns while they wait for outcomes.
Just one day before CZ's update, Trust Wallet launched its Prediction feature, with the Web3 protocol Myriad as its first integration partner.
Thus, CZ Mention Market also emphasizes the increasing experimentation within prediction markets, which have grown rapidly in 2025. This is happening simultaneously as regulatory frameworks have become clearer in several jurisdictions.
Platforms have increasingly expanded coverage from just elections and macroeconomic indicators to also include cultural events, live streams, and public statements.
Predict.fun has garnered extra attention due to its backing, with YZI Labs (formerly Binance Labs) among the investors. Although Predict.fun operates independently, this affiliation demonstrates the increasing institutional interest in predictive models.
In addition to Predict.fun, YZI Labs also supports Opinion.Trade, a prediction platform that recently surpassed Kalshi and Polymarket with $1.5 billion in weekly volume.
This indicates increasing competition in the industry, where Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Gemini have entered the fray.
These developments illustrate how prediction markets are evolving towards more detailed, real-time use cases, where even word frequency in a live stream can become a tradable signal.
Whether such formats will become a lasting expansion of the sector or merely remain a niche experiment remains to be seen.
As the BNB Chain AMA approaches, CZ Mention Market serves as an example of how crypto tools are increasingly intersecting with live media, public figures, and community-driven events—turning attention itself into a measurable and tradable outcome.
