Everyone pay attention - the year-end central bank 'super week' is coming! Japan, Europe, the UK... major global central banks will intensively announce interest rate decisions next week.
Currently, it looks like Japan will definitely raise interest rates on Friday, while other central banks are also starting to shift towards tightening. In other words: the interest rate cut cycle in 2025 might come to an end here.
Next year's script is most likely 'maintaining interest rates', and even Europe and Australia are still discussing interest rate hikes. What does this mean? The 'liquidity easing logic' that has supported the rise of U.S. stocks, European stocks, gold, and the cryptocurrency market is changing. In 2026, the market may lose the support of liquidity easing.
So, at least for the first half of next year, I lean towards a bearish outlook. This is also why, after a brief rebound following the Fed's rate cut, I started to gradually position myself for short trades again. Besides my existing positions, I also placed orders at key resistance levels like BTC 95,000 and ETH 3,400 — I'm not seeking to short at the peak, just getting a piece of the "fish body" is enough.
Short-term trading continues as well, for example, ZEC allowed everyone to short at around 470 with a small position. Although we didn't wait for a big position at 500, we still profited from the drop from 470 to 420 with small shorts. That's how short-term trading works; if there’s a rebound, control your position and try it out. Don't panic if you're stuck; the market will always provide opportunities.
Speaking of which, I should mention: in the past two months, my contract account has grown from 1 million to 3.5 million. Initially, I just wanted to buy a Maybach, but now it feels like a Ferrari is not a dream. If this trend continues correctly, next year I might even catch a glimpse of the Cullinan... When the trend is right, profits really do snowball.
However, the more I focus on trends and contracts, the more I keep a portion of my account as a "ballast". For example, I exchange some profits for stable assets like @usddio. The reason is simple: the greater the market fluctuations, the more you need an asset that can anchor its value regardless of whether it rises or falls. It helps stabilize your mindset during a storm and can quickly convert into ammunition when opportunities arise. #USDD is reliable in stability — in trend trading, "stability" doesn’t mean immobility, but rather is for better offense.
Next week is destined to be turbulent. No matter how bullish or bearish you are, remember: surviving is the key to playing on.
