🚨 Why next week could be challenging for crypto | $ACT
Japan’s 10-year bond yield has pushed past its 2008 highs after the BOJ raised rates to a 30-year peak. Historically, Bitcoin doesn’t dump immediately after this kind of move — the sell-off usually comes the following week:
Jan ’25: -7%
Mar ’25: -10%
Jul ’25: -20%
This pattern increases the chance of another short-term pullback, potentially forming a local bottom. Unlike previous cycles, a rapid push to new all-time highs looks unlikely for now, as BTC is still respecting the 4-year cycle structure.
The bigger picture:
Rising Japanese yields often spill over into higher U.S. yields, tightening global financial conditions and putting pressure on crypto markets first. However, when yields climb too high or too fast, history shows central banks tend to step in — reversing policy, injecting liquidity, and restarting QE.
Key takeaway:
Short term: Higher yields mean more volatility and downside risk.
Medium to long term: Bond market stress forces easing → liquidity returns → crypto stands to benefit the most.
Patience could be rewarded — once the full reset unfolds, this may set up a once-in-a-generation opportunity. 👀$BTC
