2025-12-21
The market is becoming increasingly difficult to understand. Just looking at the lines and prices shows a bullish pattern, but if interest rates rise without a drop, and instead increase, it will only become harder to navigate in the future.
If rates don't drop and instead go up, will lower rates also definitely lead to an increase?
When the obvious benefits and drawbacks no longer have an effect, it truly becomes a gamble.
If the adjustments in interest rates can be digested in advance, I really cannot comprehend it...
I observed for a bit in the evening and then went to bed early.
I will still observe the Nikkei's movement tomorrow morning around 8 AM, hoping it doesn't follow a bad pattern. If it slightly declines tonight and recovers, then slightly declines again tomorrow morning and recovers, then declines a bit more at night only to recover again, it would feel manageable. But if it drops significantly, I truly don't know how many people will be wiped out.
Until the Nikkei has not dropped significantly, I cannot heavily invest. I can either day trade or use light positions. I can earn less or even not earn at all, but I absolutely cannot take a hit...
The upper range is 888-894, while the lower range is 863 and 858. Let's see how it intends to move.
Today is the winter solstice, remember to eat dumplings.