$BTC 1. Short Selling

2. Take Profit Target: 87905.8 (Bollinger Band Lower Limit) / 87500.0

3. Stop Loss Target: 89200.0

4. Structure Failure Point: 89181.6 (Bollinger Band Middle Limit)

Core Analysis Basis: The current price of 88653.6 is clearly running below the Bollinger Band Middle Limit (89181.6) and is close to the lower limit, indicating a clear bearish structure. MACD shows a death cross state (DIF:-64.7 < DEA:80.9), with a negative histogram (-145.5), indicating clear bearish momentum. The most critical risk signal is the trading volume (2985.348), which is significantly below the 5-day and 10-day average volumes, showing a divergence between price and volume, and the OBV is negative (-481,036.4), indicating continued capital outflow during the decline, with weak buying pressure. Although KDJ has entered the oversold zone, under the dominant bearish structure mentioned above, there is a need for the price to test further down towards the lower limit.

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