At two o'clock in the morning, I refreshed the Bitcoin rainbow chart for the Nth time. The price is indeed close to the purple 'bottom area', and the brothers in the group are all shouting 'buying opportunity'. However, staring at that sideways market for a month, I feel increasingly anxious — because this time feels too much like that summer three years ago which was also called the 'absolute bottom'. Back then, I also believed in cycles, and as a result, I was buried for another six months in the so-called bottom area.
I closed the rainbow chart and did something that might be considered 'against faith' by the brothers: I converted half of the funds I was preparing to increase my BTC position into USDD and deposited it into the @usddio ecosystem. It's not that I don't believe in Bitcoin anymore, but I know all too well: before the real trend arrives, surviving longer is more important than timing the market perfectly.
I have experienced too many illusions of 'this is definitely the bottom' before. Rainbow charts, four-year cycles, changes in the Federal Reserve... all these logics sound perfect, but the cruelest part of the market is that the bottom is not a point, but a process. This process may last three months or a year. Many people buy in the bottom area but fall before dawn—because their capital management cannot sustain them until the trend reverses.
This is also why I now place such importance on stable assets like USDD. In the system built by @usddio, I do not need to guess whether 88K is the real bottom, nor do I need to bet on whether the new Federal Reserve chair is dovish or hawkish. The value of USDD is guaranteed by over-collateralization; volatility is no longer a risk for me but an object to observe calmly. While others anxiously calculate 'how much longer can we hold on', my USDD positions are steadily earning, accumulating ammunition for the next cycle.
Some might say: doesn't this mean missing out on the rise of Bitcoin? My strategy is: use USDD as a 'defensive tower' and the remaining funds as 'scouts'. Most assets are kept in the USDD ecosystem for value preservation and income, while a small portion is allocated to Bitcoin in batches. If it really rises, I have positions; if it continues to fall, I have enough stablecoins to buy in at lower levels. This strategy has alleviated my anxiety, allowing me to view market fluctuations more rationally.
So now, while the brothers are still debating whether the 'four-year cycle is valid', I no longer care about the answer to this question. Because regardless of whether the cycle is valid, I have developed a system that keeps me in a position of advantage. True investment wisdom is not about predicting the future, but about building an asset framework that can move forward steadily regardless of how the future unfolds.
If you are also anxious about the market direction, perhaps you can consider: can your asset allocation withstand the test of 'stagnation in the bottom area for another six months'? Sometimes, slow is fast.
#USDD is seen as stable trust—while everyone is staring at the rainbow chart guessing the colors, the smart ones have already built a home that can provide stable output regardless of rain or shine. Market cycles may change, but your control over wealth growth should not.
