Today we won't beat around the bush; let's talk from the heart: the three major fatal traps in the current crypto market, and how ordinary people should survive this chaotic period.
Let me state my core viewpoint first: don't be superstitious about any 'bull-bear conclusions'; the current market is in a distorted state of 'pseudo-recovery + high-leverage speculation', where the short-term risks far outweigh the opportunities. Some may argue: 'Aren't mainstream coins rising recently?' I will ask you three questions: Has the trading volume kept up during the rise? Are the positive news genuine or just hot air? Does the global macro environment really support a broad increase in asset prices? The answers are all negative. This rebound is more like a 'self-rescue market' for those who are stuck, with institutions quietly offloading their assets while retail investors are frantically picking them up, a typical 'warm-up before the slaughter of the leeks.'
Next, here are some key points; you must engrave these three risk points in your mind: First, the "death trap" of leveraged contracts. Many platforms are enticing retail investors to leverage, saying things like "small funds can leverage big returns", but you need to know that although the current market volatility seems to have decreased, it actually harbors hidden "spike" killing opportunities. I have done statistics, and in the past month, mainstream coins had as many as 17 sudden spikes between 2-4 AM, many of which were targeted at high-leverage retail investors for "precise harvesting". My advice is: ordinary investors should stay away from contracts altogether, and even if you have to engage, the leverage ratio must not exceed 2x, and you must set an automatic stop-loss, with the stop-loss line at least set to above 10%. Don't hold onto the fantasy that "it will come back if you just hang on".
Second, the "air trap" of small cryptocurrencies. Recently, many people feel that mainstream coins are rising slowly and start to follow the trend of speculating on various "concept coins" and "new coins". Terms like "AI + crypto" and "metaverse + crypto" sound impressive, but in reality, they are all just air. Recently, I specifically analyzed several popular small cryptocurrencies' white papers, and either they were plagiarized and pieced together, or they had no actual use cases, with vague team information. To put it bluntly, they are just tools for raising funds. Remember my screening criteria: don't touch those without public audit reports, don't touch those with opaque team backgrounds, don't touch those without actual application scenarios, and don't touch new coins that have been online for less than 3 months. It's better not to earn than to step on a landmine.
Third, the "invisible bomb" of macro policies. Many people speculate in crypto only looking at market conditions, ignoring the impact of macro policies, which is a fatal mistake. Recently, major global economies are tightening liquidity. Although the Federal Reserve has paused interest rate hikes, the expectations for rate cuts have been repeatedly delayed. Under these circumstances, it is difficult for risky assets to have sustained upward momentum. More importantly, multiple countries are advancing crypto regulatory policies, and stricter control measures may be introduced in the future. My advice is: closely monitor the policy trends of major economies, and once signs of regulatory tightening appear, regardless of profit or loss, first reduce your position by half and then talk about preserving capital, which is always the top priority.
Lastly, let me say something heartfelt: the crypto market has never been a place for "easy profits". Those who make money here are the ones who understand risk management and respect the market. Those who casually shout "the bull market is here" or "buying the dip is a sure win" are either foolish or malicious. If you currently hold positions, first check if they meet the risk avoidance standards I mentioned above; if you are flat, don't rush to enter the market, patiently wait for clear signals.
Follow me@链上标哥 , don't get lost!
