I am a cryptocurrency analyst who entered the field in 2020. I have seen many people liquidate their contracts, borrow heavily, and ultimately go to zero. However, using a set of 'anti-human' strategies, I have never been liquidated in 5 years, and my account has steadily grown from 5000U to seven figures. The core principle is simple: the market is a casino, but you must act as the dealer, not the gambler. Today, I will break down my 'cheat sheet' for you, rejecting mysticism and focusing solely on mathematics.
1. Locking in profits: putting a bulletproof vest on profits
The first thing I do when opening a position is not to look at the ups and downs, but to set my take profit and stop loss orders properly. When profits reach 10% of the principal, I immediately withdraw 50% to a cold wallet, and continue to roll the remaining profits.
Result 1: The market continues to soar, profits grow exponentially.
Result 2: The market reverses, giving back at most half of the profits, with capital intact.
In last year's bull market, I withdrew 180,000 USDT in a single week, and the platform's customer service even called to verify the source of funds. But that is discipline—profits taken are yours; otherwise, they're just numbers.
Anti-human nature key: Ordinary people always want to 'make the last bit of money,' but the dealer always 'catches fish in batches.' My statistics show that with this trick, I've withdrawn 37 times over 5 years, with maximum drawdown controlled within 8%.
2. Long-short grid: Turn liquidation points into ATMs.
The market is in a sideways trend 80% of the time, while retail investors chase highs and sell lows, I use 'misaligned positions to build positions' to capitalize on volatility:
A trade (breakout buy): When the daily trend is upward, enter long at the 4-hour support level, with the stop loss placed below the previous low (≤ 1.5% of capital).
B trade (counter-trend short): For the same cryptocurrency, place a limit short order in the overbought zone on the 4-hour chart, with the stop loss set above the previous high.
Two trades with extremely tight stop losses, but profit targets are over 5 times. For example, on the day LUNA crashed, a 90% spike within 24 hours, while others were liquidated, I secured profits on both long and short positions, with a +42% gain that day.
Underlying logic: Do not predict direction, only calculate probabilities. In a volatile market, placing both buy and sell orders is like 'running a casino'; spikes are just giving away money.
3. Stop loss is an entry ticket, mathematical expectation is a printing machine.
My win rate is only 38%, but the average profit/loss ratio is 4.8:1, with a mathematical expectation of +1.9% (for every 1 unit of risk, I earn 1.9 units).
Stop loss as an entry ticket: each trade's stop loss ≤ 1.5%, losing a small amount of money to gain entry rights.
Trailing stop: Gradually move up the stop loss after gaining profits to protect them.
Capital slicing: Total capital divided into 10 parts, with 1 part used for each trade, and holding positions not exceeding 3 parts.
Last year I only captured two waves of trends, outperforming 99% of bank wealth management. The secret is not about 'getting it right,' but rather 'losing less at the wrong time and holding on at the right time.'
4. Anti-human nature discipline: Three ironclad rules for survival.
Emotional cooling: After two consecutive losses, force yourself to take a break and exercise, eliminating 'revenge trades.'
Profit ladder: For every doubling of the account, withdraw 20% to buy US bonds/gold, turning digital assets into physical ones.
Filter out noise: Do not focus on group chats, do not chase hot topics, only trust your own charts and candlesticks.
The last sentence is the truth.
The market is not afraid of you winning; it is afraid of you not playing. My 'cheat sheet' essentially uses rules to combat human nature.
Retail investors die from holding onto losing trades, you survive through stop loss and compound profits.
The dealer is not afraid of you making money; they are afraid of you making money once and then being liquidated.
Next time you feel the urge to gamble, ask yourself: "Am I here to gamble, or to run a casino?"
Follow Ake to learn more firsthand information and precise points in the crypto circle, becoming your navigation in the crypto world; learning is your greatest wealth!#ETH走势分析 #加密市场观察 $ETH
