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Second worst Q4 in history
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In December, $AVAX recorded 651.2M active addresses. That puts it on track for its largest month on record. Sustained activity like this matters more than short term price moves. Usage tends to lead narratives, not the other way around. Worth keeping an eye on.
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$BTC and $ETH ETF flows have been net negative since early November. That shift usually reflects reduced institutional participation and tighter liquidity across the crypto market. When flows dry up, momentum slows. Price can still move, but rallies tend to be less reliable. Not a panic signal. Just a reminder that liquidity still matters more than narratives.
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#Wyckoff Method in action. April to early October was classic distribution. A failed push near 126K followed by a clean markdown into the 80K area. What we’re seeing now looks like accumulation. The key level to watch is a failed sell-off — the spring. That’s usually what opens the door for the next markup phase. Either we move into a fresh markup toward another distribution range, or we get a second re-accumulation, similar to what played out between Feb and Oct 2024. This isn’t random price action. Large players follow a playbook. Most people react to it.
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Feels familiar. $BTC right now looks a lot like late 2022 when price was stuck around 16K. Sentiment was washed, December was weak, and most people had already given up. What followed was a quiet shift and a January rebound. History doesn’t repeat perfectly, but it often rhymes. If this pattern plays out again, early January could mark another change in market mood. Not calling tops or bottoms. Just paying attention to the structure and the timing.
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