The longer the sideways movement lasts, the more intense the breakout will be.
Brothers, do you feel like you've been teased while watching the market these past few days?
It falls, but it just can't reach the support level; it rises, but not even a decent breakout can be seen. Just when you decide to wait and see, it comes back with a spike, scaring you into a cold sweat.
This is not your illusion, but rather the 'anti-humanity trap' meticulously set by the major players is now taking effect.
Look at these tricks, how many have you fallen for?
The day before yesterday, BTC broke below 42000, causing panic in the group, and many were scared into cutting half their positions. As a result, it quickly rebounded to 43500, leaving you to slap your thigh in frustration.
Yesterday, SOL broke through 100, and you excitedly jumped in, only to see it immediately drop to 95, making you doubt your life choices.
Thinking of waiting for a clear signal before jumping in, the market feels like it's been pressed on the 'pause button', with fluctuations so small that it makes one want to uninstall the app.
The most frustrating thing is that when you can't hold on and liquidate, it immediately pulls out a 5% bullish candle, along with the trending topic 'bull market return' that makes you itch to jump back in.
Is this market's natural fluctuation? It's clearly the main players' 'emotion harvester' that has been precisely targeting retail investors' instinct to 'chase highs and sell lows' after grinding for over half a month.
What are the main players trying to achieve with these 'counter-intuitive' operations?
The core objectives are two, each directly hitting the pain points of retail investors.
First, disrupt the emotional consensus of retail investors. Have you ever seen a big market trend come from a collective shout by retail investors? The goal of the main players is to gradually wear down your mindset from 'confidently bullish' to 'hesitant and observing', and finally to 'grumbling and leaving'. When comments in various communities shift from 'target 50000+' to 'let's just crash quickly', the main players' goal is achieved—emotional consensus has been completely shattered.
Second, quietly complete the chip exchange. Data shows that the net inflow of Bitcoin to exchanges has been continuously increasing recently, indicating that retail investors are panic selling while the main players are quietly taking over. Once most of the chips in retail investors' hands have shifted to the main players, what will happen next? History has already given us the answer.
The market is quietly brewing 'trend reversal signals'.
Old players understand that the real starting point of a market trend is never noisy, but hidden in the following signals that most people overlook:
The keyword 'Bitcoin' in the trending search rankings continues to decline, the trading volume of altcoins has shrunk by nearly half, and community activity has significantly decreased; those who used to shout orders every day have started posting about their daily lives.
The volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum has hit a new low for the year, but the daily decline rarely exceeds 3%. At the same time, Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust holdings continue to increase, and the open interest in futures is decreasing, indicating that leveraged players have been mostly washed out.
This is a typical 'main player-controlled environment reversal period'—the surface is calm while undercurrents are surging.
How can retail investors break the deadlock? Three iron rules to hold onto your chips.
In the face of this market, if you want to avoid being played by the main players, you need to remember these three rules:
Don't compete with short-term fluctuations. Switch the candlestick chart to weekly levels, and you will find that we are currently in a large trading range. For long-term investors, maintaining a 50-70% position is sufficient; short-term traders should set stop losses 2% below the support level and exit decisively once triggered, without hesitation.
Use position management to combat emotions. Don't frequently trade just because the market is boring, or bet the whole position on one direction. True experts understand the importance of building positions in batches, always leaving room for themselves.
Keep an eye on the main players' movement indicators. Ordinary investors can focus on two key data points: one is the Bitcoin balance on exchanges (a continuous decrease is a good sign), and the other is the ETH staking volume (an increase indicates institutions are locking up assets). These on-chain data are more reflective of the real trend than short-term price fluctuations.
Finally, let's get down to the practical.
In the cryptocurrency market, 'reverse operation' is often the way to survive. When most people fall into pessimism, panic, or blind optimism, staying calm and thinking independently is more important than any technical indicators.
The real big market trend often begins when most people are tired of watching, annoyed by waiting, and wanting to leave. Now the main players are waiting for retail investors to become completely numb, and what you need to do is to be more patient than the main players.
After all, in this zero-sum game market, your patience might be the 'ticket' to ultimate victory. Follow Xiang Ge to learn more first-hand information and cryptocurrency knowledge with precise points, becoming your navigator in the crypto world; learning is your greatest wealth!#加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 $ETH
