As the end of 2025 approaches, the seasonal question that occupies traders' minds has returned: Can Bitcoin achieve what is known as "#SantaRally2025 ?
What does it mean? In traditional stock markets, this term refers to price increases in the last days of December and the first days of January. Although Bitcoin trades 24/7, the same idea applies to it, especially during periods of low liquidity that can amplify any price movement.
This year has been very volatile. Bitcoin started under pressure, soared in the middle, and calmed down at the end. It reached a peak above $126,000 in October, then dropped below $90,000, and stabilized around $87–88,000 in the last few days.
AI Predictions: Between Optimism and Caution
Three large AI models (Gemini, Grok, ChatGPT) were asked about the likelihood of the rally, and each one saw the picture differently:
#Gemini was the most optimistic, saying there is a 55% chance that Bitcoin will break the $95,000 barrier before the end of the year, but does not expect it to return to the historical peak now. So we might see slight upward movement, not an explosion.
#Grok He was very cautious, and said that the market is calming down, not gearing up for a launch, and gave the rally a chance of 30–40% only.
#chatgpt In the middle, I see that Bitcoin is trying to establish itself, but it is still far from the peak, so the probability of the rally is about 45%.
So who should we believe?
In the end, simply put, the market is like someone trying to get up from sleep after a long party. There is some movement, but not necessarily a full awakening.
If Gemini is right, we could see Bitcoin crossing $95,000 'with difficulty', but Grok says 'don't rush, the market is still digesting what happened'.
So if you are an investor, be aware that this rally is not guaranteed, and it may not happen. But if it does, it will be more a result of market sentiment than strong fundamentals.
