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What patterns are there in cryptocurrency by the end of the year?
#BTC
#ETH

Cryptocurrency often exhibits specific patterns at the end of the year, mainly influenced by halving cycles, institutional behavior, macro events, and seasonal factors. Below are key patterns summarized in the context of the situation at the end of 2025.

Impact of halving cycles: The Bitcoin halving event (such as in December 2024) usually leads the market to enter an active phase in the fourth quarter, with historical data showing that the fourth quarter after halving is often the most frenzied stage of the four-year cycle, potentially driving prices upward; however, the actual trend in 2025 indicates that despite the volatility brought by the halving effect, the price peaked at about $126,000 before retreating to around $88,000, not reaching some predicted highs, suggesting that halving patterns may be disrupted by other factors.

Institutional activity and ETF effects: The inflow of funds into spot Bitcoin ETFs is an important driver, with net inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs in the second quarter of 2025 increasing by 270% year-on-year, and increased institutional participation supporting liquidity; traditional financial institutions continuously entering the market by the end of the year may provide medium- to long-term support, but in the short term, caution is needed regarding the volatility brought by leveraged liquidations and crowded positions, as seen when leveraged players massively capitulated after the 2025 FOMC decision, triggering liquidations of billions of dollars.

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