The IMF report lowers global growth prospects, mainly due to three key risks:
📉 Growth Outlook
· Global expectations: They have been revised downwards.
· Risk for economies: Both developed and emerging economies face risks of slowdown.
⚠️ Main Risk Factors
· Persistent inflation: Although it has decreased in some countries, core inflation remains high. This forces central banks to maintain restrictive policies, which pressures the real economy.
· Geopolitical tensions: Disruptions in supply chains and trade frictions increase costs and inhibit investment.
· Financial volatility: Greater instability in financial markets poses a systemic risk.
🛡️ Policy Recommendations (Coordinated Approach)
To tackle these risks, the IMF emphasizes policy coordination:
· Monetary policy: Maintain a prudent stance until inflation clearly decreases.
· Fiscal policy: Countries with room should use targeted spending to support employment and productive investment.
· Structural reform: Increase labor market flexibility and improve productive efficiency.
In summary, the IMF describes a complex global economic landscape where coordination of macroeconomic policies is crucial to balance inflation control with support for growth. $BTC
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