$BTC 1. Short Selling

2. Profit Target: 86,966.1 (Lower Bollinger Band) / 86,500.0

3. Stop Loss Target: 88,000.0 (Above Middle Bollinger Band)

4. Structural Failure Point: 87,520.6 (Middle Bollinger Band)

Core Analysis Basis:

The current price of 87,249.9 is trading below the middle Bollinger Band at 87,520.6, indicating short-term structural pressure. Although the MACD histogram has turned positive to 10.9 (DIF slightly higher than DEA), suggesting a temporary slowdown in downward momentum, both lines remain deeply in negative territory, and the overall trend has not reversed. The most critical risk signals are: the KDJ J value has fallen to 15.1, entering the oversold zone, and a technical rebound correction may be imminent in the short term; simultaneously, the trading volume (2,962.1) is significantly lower than the 5-day and 10-day average volumes, showing a "volume-price divergence," indicating weak buying power during the decline; the OBV is negative, further confirming that funds are flowing out. In summary, the probability of the price weakening and oscillating below the middle band resistance is high, and the technical outlook is bearish. Operationally, one could consider shorting with a small position when the rebound weakens, or directly participate in the trend, but strict stop-loss orders are necessary to mitigate the risk of an oversold rebound.