Something interesting is going on now with infrastructure projects like APRO. We have not seen any news about APRO or sharp price moves for APRO. On the surface everything looks calm for APRO.. When things seem calm for infrastructure projects like APRO that is often when the most important changes start to happen for APRO. Different parts of the system start to line up for infrastructure projects like APRO. When that happens to APRO the market usually reacts later. It reacts very fast, to APRO.
I have seen this pattern times when it comes to infrastructure projects. Real change does not usually happen because of one announcement. It happens when several things are happening at the time. Infrastructure projects are, like that. Then one day people suddenly realize that this tool is no longer something you can choose to use or not. The tool has become something you must have. Infrastructure projects need this tool now.
APRO seems to be getting to that point. APRO is going through a change. It appears that APRO is entering that phase.
The first thing to consider is how oracles are being used. When oracles were new people mostly used them to try things out. Teams would connect oracles to their apps just to see what would happen. They would use oracles for things that were not very important. If something went wrong it was not the end of the world. This way of thinking about oracles has stuck with teams. It still affects how they think about oracle tools.
The way people think about this is changing now. People are putting Oracles in important roles where they cannot fail. Oracles are being used in systems that handle settlement logic and risk triggers. In these areas even a tiny mistake can cause problems and break the whole system. When an Oracle is used like this it is not a tool anymore. The Oracle becomes something that people depend on the Oracle becomes a dependency and people rely on the Oracle.
APRO seems to be going in this direction. The main thing APRO is doing is changing its focus from uses to the main things it does which are core calls. This is something that takes a while. It is happening slowly and quietly.. Once APRO is a big part of a system it is very hard to take APRO out later. At that point APRO is, in there deep and it is not easy to switch to something else.
The second thing that matters is what developers are used to doing. A lot of people only think about the stuff and numbers.. The way developers normally do things is often more important than the technical details. When developers start something they do not want to figure out every single part all over again. They like to use what they know. What makes them feel comfortable. The developer habit is what they fall back on because it is easy and familiar, to them and that is why the developer habit is so powerful.
When a group of developers starts to use one infrastructure choice all the time that choice gets an advantage. The infrastructure choice does not need to be better, than everything every time. People just assume it is the choice. This makes a pattern that keeps going and going. New projects use the infrastructure choice because it feels like the normal thing to do with the infrastructure choice. The developers keep using the infrastructure choice. That is why it stays popular with the infrastructure choice.
This is where the real moats form. They do not form through marketing. A lot of noise. The real moats form through routine.
Developers of the component do not wake up thinking that the component is essential.
The developers of the component just keep using the component without question.
Later do the developers of the component realize that it would be very painful to replace the component.
This type of dependence is really tough to spot on graphs. You will not see it when you look at what happens with prices over a period of time. However it has an impact on what happens in the long run. When people start using something because they want to but then it becomes something they do all the time the system becomes very established. The dependence, on the system is what really locks people in and this is what shapes the long term outcomes of the system.
APRO seems to be getting closer to a point. We do not need anything to happen today. The fact that everything is lining up is a sign in itself. More and more people are using APRO. Developers are becoming more comfortable, with APRO. APRO is slowly becoming a part of things that people rely on.
When all of this finally becomes obvious to the wider market it will feel sudden. But the groundwork is being laid now. That is usually how infrastructure winners are made.
