$XRP Is there a Christmas bounce for XRP? 3 clues hanging in the stocking
XRP has been stable for most of the past 24 hours and is still down about 16.8% over the past 30 days. The chart still feels bearish, but the Christmas season of 2025 brings three tailwinds that seem to be trying to pull the sleigh in a new direction.
This is not a call for a rise. It is a setup. If buyers follow through, this could be the beginning of something.
Momentum and money flow are trying to join the Christmas chorus
XRP prices have been trending downward between November 4 and December 24, forming clear dips. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures momentum, achieved higher lows during the same period. This is referred to as bullish divergence. It occurs when the price declines, but momentum quietly shifts upward, often appearing before an attempt to reverse the trend.
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The Money Flow Index (MFI), which tracks volume and flows, also shows divergence.
Between November 21 and December 18, the price was trending downward, but the MFI was trending upward. This indicates buying pressure at the dip and money rotating back even when the price was hesitant. In response, the price of XRP began to recover after December 18.
Currently, the MFI still maintains a higher bottom setup for November 21, despite the recent decline against the rising price. Additionally, it has now exited the severely oversold zone, indicating a resumption of the buy-the-dip narrative, near the reversal zone.
Both signals suggest that sellers may be losing power. They are not confirmations, but they are Christmas carols whispering beneath the surface.
The return of whales is like the cautious reindeer
Two groups of whales resumed adding, but not dramatically. The second largest group, holding between 100 million and 1 billion XRP, increased their holdings from 8.11 billion XRP to 8.23 billion XRP starting December 22. At the current price, this represents a change of about $150 million.
The next group holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP increased their holdings from 10.88 billion XRP to 10.9 billion XRP, lagging slightly on December 23. At current prices, this represents an increase of about $50 million.
This is not an aggressive accumulation like the mid-December spikes. It's cautious, like a reindeer testing the snow before charging forward. However, whales are adding as momentum improves, giving the reversal attempt a backbone. It shows that the deepest pockets of the market are not abandoning ship at current levels.
XRP price levels that could light up the Christmas tree
If XRP's price wants to turn these signals into real outcomes, it needs to work with them. The first obstacle lies near $1.98. This level has constrained every bullish move since December 15. If XRP buyers can help it break through, moving to the $2.12 area becomes possible. Above that, $2.23 is where buyers will prove they are more than just holiday visitors.
On the downside, the key level is $1.77. It has acted as structural support since October 10. A daily close below $1.77 would indicate that the sleigh may not take off and that sellers still hold the season.
Currently, XRP is holding above $1.77 with momentum slowly improving, money flow is no longer bleeding, and whales are coming back. None of these factors makes the chart bullish on their own. Together, these factors set the stage for a potential change in direction if the price cooperates.
If XRP rises strongly above $1.98, the Christmas winds from below may become significant enough to matter. Until then, the sleigh moves forward, but it hasn't taken off yet.
