Since the beginning of the year, BTC has been playing a stair-step horizontal trend above $90,000, directly causing those who wanted to wait for a pullback to be caught off guard. In the current market, although the median increase seems stable, the sense of ‘strong forced shorting’ feels very much like the 11 consecutive bullish candles that set up a strong base at the end of last year, just waiting for the New Year to break through and start 2026 on a good note.
I still have the same suggestion: If you feel high when looking at Bitcoin at $90,000 or if your account has underperformed the market for three consecutive years, it indicates that your trading logic has serious flaws. The current Crypto market has already opened up its channels, and its character has changed dramatically; it is no longer the previously hysterical ‘gambling paradise,’ but rather a stable and mature ‘institutional reservoir.’
01 Core insight: Musk's 'supersonic tsunami' and humanity's ultimate distribution rights.
The highlight of today's briefing must be Musk's latest in-depth interview. This is not just a technological dialogue; it is simply setting the tone for the wealth map of the next 3 to 7 years.
1. The critical point of AGI: 'supersonic tsunami' within 3-7 years.
Musk frankly stated in an interview that he believes General Artificial Intelligence (AGI) will be achieved within the next 3-7 years and described it as a 'supersonic tsunami'. In his view, the current AI can already handle over 50% of white-collar jobs; the rest is just a matter of time.
Many people are still discussing whether AI can write code, while Musk has already seen the societal collapse and reconstruction after the 'singularity'.
In the context of Crypto, what does this mean? It means the traditional financial credit system based on 'people' will completely fail.
When AI Agents (robotic agents) take over 50% of social productivity, they will need a payment language that does not require human identification, does not need bank approval, and inherently belongs to machines.
This is why BTC, even at $90,000, is still cheap because it is the only hard currency settlement base for the future 'machine civilization'.
2. The disruption of 'Universal High Income'.
Musk proposed a concept even more radical than UBI (Universal Basic Income): Universal High Income. Because automation will drive the cost of goods and services toward zero.
This sounds like paradise, but it conceals a huge 'distribution rights crisis'. If future living supplies are fully provided by AI, then the only criterion for measuring class will become 'who owns the underlying assets of AI'.
Musk predicted a tremendous abundance of material, but I believe this abundance will lead to the complete collapse of the fiat currency system—because 'money' has lost its function of anchoring labor value.
In this context, Crypto assets with hard scarcity will be the only ticket for ordinary people to cross from the 'universal welfare recipients' class to the 'owning productivity shares' class.
3. China-US AI competition: China is 'running in circles'.
Musk mentioned that, based on the current trend of computing power investment, China's progress in AI computing power has already far exceeded that of other countries, even 'running circles around the United States'.
Behind the computing power competition is the crazy clash of electricity and capital. This explains why DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure) and the financialization of computing power will explode this year.
Musk's 'prophet-level' anxiety is actually forcing the U.S. government to further liberate regulations in the crypto space. Because to win the computing power war, it is necessary to leverage the global liquidity brought by Crypto to involve every watt of electricity and every chip scattered among the people in this war.
4. Robot Optimus: From factories to homes.
Musk firmly believes that the humanoid robot Optimus will change everything.
Every Optimus is actually a mobile 'smart hardware + wallet'. Future socializing, services, and transactions will occur between billions of robotic nodes.
If the past decade of Crypto was about solving 'trust in people', then the next decade of Crypto will be about solving 'collaboration among machines'. If you still don't understand DePIN, then you may really be left behind by the times.
02 Macroeconomic policy: Trump's '$200 billion flood' and backdoor QE.
The macro news is equally explosive. Trump recently announced that he is urging the government to purchase up to $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities (MBS).
Friends, don’t be fooled by the pleasant excuse of 'housing affordability'; this is blatant 'violent flooding', another form of QE (Quantitative Easing). Mohamed El-Erian articulated it well: this political pressure has forced the Federal Reserve to intervene in the market through asset purchases.
This rhythm of 'mass flooding' is simply equipping BTC, this artillery, with a nuclear reactor. The Atlanta Fed expects GDP growth of 5.4% in the fourth quarter; even with a strong economy, there are still needs for rate cuts and flooding, which is a 'golden-haired girl effect' that is extremely rare in history.
This means that as long as you hold quality risk assets, you are reaping the benefits of global liquidity flooding.
03 Market structure: Bitcoin's 'coming of age' and staircase rise.
The current trend of Bitcoin shows a distinct 'staircase' state: a rapid rise followed by a painful sideways fluctuation (Time-based capitulations), and then another rapid rise.
This trend indicates that the chip structure has been completely 'institutionalized'. Such drastic declines of 30% or 50% (Drawdown) are becoming increasingly rare in the current mature cycle.
Why? Because chips above $100,000 are largely sovereign funds and pensions trading against each other; they are not here to play short-term; they are here to allocate assets.
The current sideways movement is actually a 'time-based harvest'. It does not kill prices; it kills your patience. If you watch the K-line every day wanting to do high sell low buy, you will likely be completely washed off during a sudden staircase launch.
Still the same saying, the risk of missing out is also a risk, and it is the biggest risk in 2026.
04 Risk warning: The shadow of $1 billion and tightened regulation.
A report from TRM Labs shows that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard used two UK-registered crypto exchanges (like Zedcex) to transfer about $1 billion to evade sanctions.
Although this news did not stir up big waves amidst the bull market's clamor, it is a 'time bomb' in the hands of regulators. This indicates that although 2026 will be a big year for the market, it will also inevitably be a 'compliance cleansing year'. The survival space for offshore exchanges and semi-compliant platforms will be further squeezed.
I advise everyone to pay attention to the 'cleanliness' of assets while making money. Try to align with compliant platforms (like Coinbase, HashKey) or learn to use hardware wallets. In the future, there may be a 'premium difference' of 5%-10% or even higher between compliant and non-compliant assets.
Today's market transaction volume remains high; once this trend is initiated, do not gamble on large risks for small profits.
Musk explores the new track of AI and robots, while Trump provides unlimited liquidity ammunition behind; this is almost the most perfect wealth resonance moment in history.
Over the past few years, stock investors following Musk's concepts have formed a template; he explores innovation ahead while a bunch of DePIN and AI agent projects in Crypto follow and learn.
Musk's vision is almost prophet-level; although he occasionally regrets getting involved in government affairs, he has never missed the direction of technology.
You can doubt his character, but never doubt his vision.
That's all for today, launch～