📉 26.1.13 Crypto Market Rant + Hardcore Analysis

The crypto market has turned into such a mess, everyone must be fed up. With over 80,000 people drawing doors, and still drawing doors after reaching 90,000, this phase truly requires immense patience. Especially when compared to other global assets, BTC has dropped 30% over the past six months, while Nasdaq is up 10%, gold is up 20%, and silver is up 30%. While others are discussing AI, defense, and engineering, crypto traders are still talking about "I just arrived," which is truly heartbreaking.

Given the current situation, we're betting on the upcoming rotation driven by liquidity overflow. The crypto market is indeed oversold, so we just have to wait patiently. However, we must also recognize the importance of the RWA sector. In the future, investment choices won't be limited to crypto assets alone, but will increasingly include "cross-market assets," which will inevitably siphon liquidity away from altcoins. If you could go back in time to six months ago, you'd definitely go long on gold rather than crypto—this is the core contradiction in today's crypto market: lacking a sufficiently compelling narrative.

BTC Market: Recently, market skepticism toward the independence of the Federal Reserve has put pressure on US equities and crypto. Yesterday, BTC formed a small door, suggesting it will likely continue to trade sideways. The defensive line for long positions is around 89,000; as long as it doesn't break below the new low, we can continue holding. A brief spike and recovery doesn't count. Given recent volatility, it's best to use low leverage and wide stop-losses to stay in the trade.

BTC Resistance: 94,000, Support: 89,000–90,000

$BTC $我踏马来了