Core CPI m/m: 0.2% ⬇️ (lower than forecast 0.3%) → good
CPI m/m: 0.3% = forecast → neutral
(CPI y/y not visible in the chart yet, so focus on m/m first)
Fundamental Meaning
Core inflation lower than expectations 👉 disinflation signal
Inflation pressure is starting to ease, weakening the hawkish narrative of the Fed
Probability of rate cut / more dovish policy in the near future slightly increases
Impact on Crypto Market
Bias: Slight BULLISH → continued bullishness
📈 BTC & ETH: typically respond positively
🔥 Altcoin: may follow if BTC remains stable (not a spike followed by a dump)
💵 USD: tends to weaken → risk assets benefit
But Be Careful ⚠️
Since CPI m/m met forecast, not super bullish
Typically market:
Initial pump 📈
Then retest / fake move to take liquidity
Wait for confirmation:
BTC holds above H1/H4 high
No strong rejection at HTF resistance
