The United States has begun withdrawing part of its personnel from military bases in the Middle East as a preventive measure, after Iranian authorities warned neighboring countries that American bases could be attacked if Washington launches an offensive.
Military sources heard by Reuters say the signs point to the possibility of a US military action, although they acknowledge that unpredictability is part of the strategy of President Donald Trump's government. Publicly, Trump has adopted a cautious tone, saying he is monitoring the crisis and has received information indicating a reduction in deaths from Iran's repression, without ruling out intervention.
European and Israeli authorities assess that a U.S. action may occur within the next 24 hours, still without a clear definition of scope or timing. Qatar confirmed the reduction of personnel at the Al Udeid air base, the largest U.S. base in the region, and the UK has also begun preventive withdrawals.
The backdrop is the wave of protests in Iran, described as the most violent since the 1979 Revolution. Official estimates mention over 2,000 deaths, while human rights organizations report over 2,600, with Tehran attributing the crisis to external interference and European governments condemning the repression.
Analysis: The scenario increases uncertainty and favors volatility. For crypto, this typically means broad movements, with BTC leading and alts more vulnerable until there is clarity on the geopolitical developments.

