Post
BlackCat BNB
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⚡️BITCOIN
When looking at the market, I prioritize larger timeframes and let old data speak for itself. No emotions, no intuition. Just numbers and how price has reacted in the past.
The current structure of this cycle shares many similarities with 2021 and previous cycles. This pattern has existed and worked for over a decade. There will be a day it loses effectiveness — but until then, I choose to follow it rather than fight against it.
In 2021, $BTC could not break above the area around $50K. If we map this to the current cycle, the equivalent zone lies around $100K. Based on structural logic, this could be a region where price faces strong resistance and clear reaction.
Recently, the price has touched $80K, while a large amount of long positions are stuck in the $95K–$100K range. When price returns to this area, demand to exit at breakeven may emerge. Large capital often takes advantage of such zones to distribute, increasing selling pressure.
Additionally, there remains a long-term resistance line — very similar to what happened in 2021. In this context, $BTC advancing to $98K–$99K is still possible without altering the overall structure.
Only when price clearly breaks above the $104K–$105K zone will I pause to reassess the entire trend.
This is my personal trading plan, based on how I read the market.
If you don't share this view, simply don't follow it.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
When looking at the market, I prioritize larger timeframes and let old data speak for itself. No emotions, no intuition. Just numbers and how price has reacted in the past.
The current structure of this cycle shares many similarities with 2021 and previous cycles. This pattern has existed and worked for over a decade. There will be a day it loses effectiveness — but until then, I choose to follow it rather than fight against it.
In 2021, $BTC could not break above the area around $50K. If we map this to the current cycle, the equivalent zone lies around $100K. Based on structural logic, this could be a region where price faces strong resistance and clear reaction.
Recently, the price has touched $80K, while a large amount of long positions are stuck in the $95K–$100K range. When price returns to this area, demand to exit at breakeven may emerge. Large capital often takes advantage of such zones to distribute, increasing selling pressure.
Additionally, there remains a long-term resistance line — very similar to what happened in 2021. In this context, $BTC advancing to $98K–$99K is still possible without altering the overall structure.
Only when price clearly breaks above the $104K–$105K zone will I pause to reassess the entire trend.
This is my personal trading plan, based on how I read the market.
If you don't share this view, simply don't follow it.
{future}(BTCUSDT)
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